全球化、区域贸易协定与服务贸易  

Globalization,Regional Trade Agreements,Service Trade

作　　者：蒋芊 李雨浓[1] 汪涛[2] Qian Jiang;Yunong Li;Tao Wang(International Business School,Southwestern University of Finance and Economics;Guangxi Development Strategy Research Institute,Guangxi University)

机构地区：[1]西南财经大学国际商学院 [2]广西大学广西发展战略研究院

出　　处：《经济学报》2024年第4期34-59,共26页China Journal of Economics

基　　金：广西高校人文社会科学重点研究基地“广西发展战略研究院”课题(2020GDSIYB09);成都西南财大交子金融科技创新研究院(项目号:cgzh20210202);国家自然科学基金青年项目(71803159)的资助。

摘　　要：本文采用Bergstrand et al.(2015)的研究框架,纳入Anderson et al.(2018)异质性边界拓展,对含有区域贸易协定(RTAs)的结构引力模型进行了拓展。通过2000—2014年29个国家的服务贸易数据进行实证分析,旨在探究全球化和区域贸易协定对服务贸易流量的影响,并打开了异质性同一地区效应的“黑箱”。研究发现:首先,异质性同一地区效应极大吸收了全球化效应和RTAs效应:在控制异质性同一地区效应的情况下,全球化效应消失,RTAs约为20%。其次,双边天然联系变量作用的呈现波动情况,歧视性贸易成本的作用仍然没有呈现显著下降。最后,异质性同一地区效应显著受到本国制度质量的影响。本文的研究有助于理解在服务贸易中区域贸易协定与全球化的关系,并为中国的全球化战略提供政策思考。This study adopts the research framework of Bergstrand et al.(2015)and incorporates the heterogeneity of borders proposed by Anderson et al.(2018)to extend the structural gravity model with regional trade agreements(RTAs).By conducting empirical analysis using service trade data from 29 countries during the period of 2000 to 2014,the study aims to explore the effects of globalization and RTAs on service trade flows,as well as to uncover the“black box”of heterogeneity and same-region effects.The findings of the study are as follows:Firstly,the heterogeneity of same-region effects absorbs a significant portion of the effects of globalization and RTAs.When controlling for heterogeneity of same-region effects,the globalization effect vanishes,while the effect of RTAs remains at around 20%.Secondly,the role of bilateral natural connectivity variables exhibits fluctuations,and the impact of discriminatory trade costs does not show a significant decline.Lastly,the heterogeneity of same-region effects is significantly influenced by the quality of domestic institutions.This research contributes to the understanding of the relationship between regional trade agreements and globalization in service trade and provides policy implications for China's strategies in globalization.

关 键 词：全球化 区域贸易协定 结构引力模型 边界效应 

分 类 号：F744[经济管理—国际贸易] F746.18[经济管理—产业经济] F114.41