城市群建设与城市经济韧性:效应与机制  

Urban Agglomeration Development and Urban Economic Resilience:Effects and Mechanisms——Based on the Comparison with the

作　　者：赵家未 李文启[2] ZHAO Jiawei;LI Wenqi(School of Economics,Nankai University,Tianjin 300071,China;School of Economics and Trade,Henan University of Technology,Zhengzhou 450001,China)

机构地区：[1]南开大学经济学院,天津300071 [2]河南工业大学经济贸易学院,河南郑州450001

出　　处：《经济经纬》2024年第6期30-44,共15页Economic Survey

基　　金：河南省高等学校哲学社会科学创新团队建设计划资助(2025-CXTD-08);河南省高等学校哲学社会科学创新人才支持计划资助(2024-CXRC-10);全国农业教指委2021年研究生教育面上课题(2021-NYYB-63);河南省高等教育教学改革研究与实践项目(研究生教育类)(2023SJGLX039Y)。

摘　　要：基于2008—2022年中国282个地级市面板数据,运用多时点双重差分法,探讨了城市群建设对城市经济韧性的影响。结果显示:(1)城市群建设显著提升了城市经济韧性,这一结论在经过一系列稳健性检验后仍然成立;(2)机制检验表明,城市群建设通过促进地区劳动力集聚和资本集聚提升城市经济韧性,而技术集聚的正向影响主要体现在京津冀、长三角等较为成熟的城市群,在其他城市群中的效果相对较弱;(3)进一步分析表明,城市群建设对中型城市和外围城市的经济韧性提升效果更加显著,而因大型城市和中心城市已有较强的抗风险能力,城市群建设对其的提升作用有限。研究结论验证了城市群建设在促进区域协调发展和抵御外部冲击的重大贡献。Based on panel data from 282 prefecture-level cities in China from 2008 to 2022,this study uses a multi-period difference-in-differences approach to explore the impact of urban agglomeration development on urban economic resilience.There are following findings:(1)Urban agglomeration development significantly enhances urban economic resilience,a conclusion that holds after a series of robustness tests;(2)Mechanism tests indicate that urban agglomeration development improves urban economic resilience by promoting regional labor and capital agglomeration,while the positive impact of technology agglomeration is mainly reflected in more mature urban agglomerations such as the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei and the Yangtze River Delta regions,with relatively weaker effects in other urban agglomerations;(3)Further analysis suggests that the effect of urban agglomeration development on enhancing the economic resilience of medium-sized cities and peripheral cities is more pronounced,while for large cities and central cities,which already possess strong risk resistance capabilities,the role of urban agglomeration development is limited.The study confirms the significant contribution of urban agglomeration development in promoting coordinated regional development and resisting external shocks.

关 键 词：城市群 经济韧性 劳动力集聚 资本集聚 技术集聚 

分 类 号：F239.1[经济管理—会计学] F299.21[经济管理—国民经济]