基于可控破坏的供用水系统极限调控理论框架  

Theoretical framework of limit regulation of water supply and consumptionsystem based on controllable damage

作　　者：吕翠美[1] 宗文钊 凌敏华[1] 吴泽宁[1] 王森森 胡玉光 LU Cuimei;ZONG Wenzhao;LING Minhua;WU Zening;WANG Sensen;HU Yuguang(School of Water Resources and Transportation,Zhengzhou University,Zhengzhou 450001,China)

机构地区：[1]郑州大学水利与交通学院,河南郑州450001

出　　处：《水利学报》2024年第12期1519-1527,共9页Journal of Hydraulic Engineering

基　　金：国家重点研发计划课题(2021YFC3000204)。

摘　　要：特大干旱作为一种极端气候现象,会导致严重的水资源短缺、经济社会损失和生态环境破坏。为抗旱减灾,应该在供水侧尽可能挖潜增供,在用水侧尽可能压缩减用,即供用水系统的极限调控。为了供用水系统的可持续,特大干旱条件下供用水系统的调控,既要挑战极限又要确保破坏可控。本研究在“概念内涵—理论框架—调控策略”的总体思路下,引入耗散结构理论和熵理论,分析了特大干旱条件下供用水系统特点,探讨可控破坏的概念、内涵及判别方法,创建特大干旱条件下基于可控破坏的供用水系统极限调控的理论框架,提出特大干旱条件下供用水系统的极限调控策略,为特大干旱应对提供理论指导和方法支持。As an extreme climate phenomenon,severe drought can lead to serious water resource shortages,ecological damage,and socio-economic losses.In order to combat drought and reduce disasters,the water supply side should tap into its potential and increase supply as much as possible,while the water consumption side should be compressed and controlled as much as possible,that is,the extreme regulation of the water supply and water consumption systems.However,the implementation of extreme control measures will inevitably cause damage to the water supply and consumption systems themselves,such as excessive development of water sources,deterioration in water quality,and loss of water supply facilities.In order to ensure the sustainability of water supply and consumption systems,the regulation of water supply and consumption systems under extreme drought conditions must challenge limits while ensuring controllable damage.Therefore,the theory of limit regulation of water supply and consumption systems based on controllable damage is the foundation of scientific drought resistance and disaster reduction under extreme drought conditions.This article introduces the theory of dissipative structure,analyzes the characteristics of water supply systems under extreme drought conditions,and deeply explores the concept and connotation of controllable damage.Based on this,a theoretical framework for the ultimate regulation of water supply systems under extreme drought conditions is proposed,providing theoretical guidance and methodological support for the regulation of water supply systems under extreme drought conditions.

关 键 词：特大干旱 供用水系统 可控破坏 极限调控 耗散结构 熵理论 

分 类 号：TV213[水利工程—水文学及水资源]