高技术产品出口、数字贸易壁垒与“双环流”价值链分工地位  

High-tech Product Export,Digital Trade Barriers and the Division of Labor Status in the“Double Circulation”Value Chain

作　　者：周国富 湛婧宁 熊宇航 ZHOU Guo-fu;ZHAN Jing-ning;XIONG Yu-hang(School of Statistics,Tianjin University of Finance and Economics,Tianjin 300222)

机构地区：[1]天津财经大学统计学院,天津300222

出　　处：《经济问题》2025年第1期37-47,共11页On Economic Problems

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目“经济数字化转型的创新驱动效应、区域差异及协调发展路径研究”(24BTJ021)。

摘　　要：随着《区域全面经济伙伴关系协定》(RCEP)的全面生效,中国将同时置身于全球价值链大环流和RCEP价值链小环流贸易网络中。在理论分析的基础上,采用社会网络分析与跨国面板数据模型相结合的方法,基于2007—2023年全球52个国家的高技术产品出口数据测算了全球高技术产品贸易网络和RCEP高技术产品贸易网络的结构指标,并考察其对“双环流”价值链分工地位的影响及作用机制。结果显示:(1)在高技术产品贸易网络中,中国已成为链接全球大环流与RCEP小环流的枢纽国家;(2)相对于全球大环流,RCEP小环流的高技术产品贸易网络更有利于中国摆脱“被俘获”式发展和国际分工地位的跃升;(3)一国在高技术产品贸易网络中的广度和深度对其在全球大环流和RCEP小环流价值链中分工地位的提升具有显著促进作用;(4)相对于全球大环流,RCEP小环流高技术产品贸易网络对价值链分工地位的促进作用受到数字贸易壁垒的负面影响更显著。基于上述结论,从中国如何充分利用RCEP的全面生效和新的“双环流”带来的机遇与挑战,以及促进高技术产业发展和提升价值链分工地位等方面给出了对策建议。With the full effect of RCEP,China will be involved in both the large circulation of the global value chain and the small circulation of the RCEP value chain.On the basis of theoretical analysis,this paper adopts the method of combining social network analysis and transnational panel data model,and calculates the structural indicators of the global high-tech products trade network and the RCEP high-tech products trade network based on the export data of 52 major countries in the world from 2007 to 2023.The influence and mechanism of the division of labor status in the“double circulation”value chain are also investigated.The results show that:(1)In the hightech product trade network,China has become a hub country linking the global large circulation and the RCEP small circulation status.(2)Compared with the global large circulation,the high-tech product trade network with the small RCEP circulation is more conducive to China’s escape from“trapped”development and the leap in the international division of labor.(3)The breadth and depth of a country’s high-tech product trade network significantly promote its position in the global large circulation and RCEP small circulation value chains.(4)Compared with the global large circulation,the promotion effect of the RCEP small circulation high-tech product trade network on the division status of labor in the value chain is more significantly affected by the negative impact of digital trade barriers.Based on the above conclusions,the paper gives policy suggestions on how China can make full use of the opportunities and challenges brought by the full entry into force of RCEP and the new“dual circulation”to promote the development of high-tech industries and enhance the status of division of labor in the value chain.

关 键 词：高技术产品出口 “双环流”价值链 分工地位 数字贸易壁垒 

分 类 号：F125[经济管理—世界经济]