我国清洁能源发展规律分析及其与经济系统的协调发展评价  

A Study on the Development Patterns of Clean Energy in China and Evaluation of Its Coordinated Development with the Economic System

作　　者：任卓亚 郭宁 解佗 聂诗琪 夏兵 REN Zhuoya;GUO Ning;XIE Tuo;NIE Shiqi;XIA Bing(State Key Laboratory of Eco-Hydraulics in Northwest Arid Region of China,Xi’an University of Technology,Xi’an 710048,Shaanxi,China;Xixian New Area Dizhang Street Office,Xi’an 712035,Shaanxi,China;Department of Politics and International Relations,University of York,York,YO105DD,UK)

机构地区：[1]西安理工大学西北旱区生态水利国家重点实验室,陕西西安710048 [2]西咸新区底张街道办,陕西西安712035 [3]约克大学政治学院,英国约克YO105DD

出　　处：《电网与清洁能源》2024年第12期128-134,共7页Power System and Clean Energy

基　　金：陕西省自然科学基础研究计划青年项目(2022JQ-534)。

摘　　要：清洁能源产业发展是实现低碳经济、达成“双碳”目标的根本措施之一。针对目前我国清洁能源和经济系统的内在关联关系和协调发展特征不明确的问题,建立了清洁能源、经济系统发展评价指标体系,构建了清洁能源与经济发展的综合评价模型和耦合协调度模型;利用2014—2022年的统计数据,从时间和空间2个角度进行了定量分析。分析结果表明:各省清洁能源系统和经济系统发展水平在波动中呈现整体上升趋势;从耦合协调性来看,2020年后各省耦合协调程度也呈现上升趋势,但存在一定差异;清洁能源在促进经济增长方面的作用不断增强,经济发展也逐步向低碳化转型;清洁能源与经济系统未来进一步向高度协调过渡,需要加强清洁能源消费,大力发展储能和清洁能源调度技术,提升清洁能源在碳汇市场的主体作用。The development of the clean energy industry is one of the fundamental measures to achieve a low-carbon economy and realize the"dual carbon"goals.To address the current lack of clarity regarding the intrinsic relationship and coordinated development characteristics between China's clean energy and economic systems,an evaluation indicator system for clean energy and economic system development is established.A comprehensive evaluation model,along with a coupling coordination degree model,is constructed to analyze clean energy and economic development.Using statistical data from 2014 to 2022,quantitative analyses are conducted from both temporal and spatial perspectives.The results indicate an overall upward trend in the development levels of clean energy systems and economic systems across provinces,despite some fluctuations.In terms of coupling coordination,the degree of coordination among provinces has also shown an upward trend since 2020,though differences remain.The role of clean energy in promoting economic growth is continuously strengthening,and economic development is gradually shifting toward low-carbon transformation.To transition towards a higher level of coordination between the clean energy and economic systems in the future,bit is necessary to increase clean energy consumption,actively develop energy storage and clean energy dispatch technologies,and enhance the central role of clean energy in the carbon market.

关 键 词：清洁能源 经济系统 耦合协调度性 低碳经济 

分 类 号：X382[环境科学与工程—环境工程]