近十年世界田径运动成绩趋势预测  

Prediction of Development Trend of Track & Field Results of the World in Last Decade

作　　者：方洪寿[1] 刘嘉津[2] 

机构地区：[1]温州医学院体育部,浙江温州325003 [2]宁波大学体育学院,浙江宁波315211

出　　处：《北京体育大学学报》2002年第5期707-708,共2页Journal of Beijing Sport University

摘　　要：以 1991～ 2 0 0 0年间世界田径各项前十名成绩为依据 ,根据不同项群进行分组研究 ,从中探索并揭示世界田径运动近十年的发展趋势 ,并通过灰色包络模型预测其未来的发展方向。Based on the results of the first ten places of track & field events of the world in 1991~2000 they were divided into groups for study according to different event group. The development trend of track & field of the world in the last decade was explored and revealed. By applying the grey envelop model the future development direction was predicted.

关 键 词：世界田径运动 预测 项群 灰色模型 发展趋势 运动成绩 

分 类 号：G82[文化科学—体育训练] G811.8[文化科学—体育学]