末端敏感弹动态命中概率初步分析  

Preliminary Analysis on the Dynamic Hit Probability of Terminal Activated Munition

作　　者：秦新昆 

机构地区：[1]中国兵器工业第203研究所

出　　处：《弹道学报》1992年第2期49-56,共8页Journal of Ballistics

摘　　要：本文将末敏弹的外弹道划分为无控弹道、抛射弹道与敏感弹道等三部分.末敏弹的命中概率P为捕获概率P_1,敏感概率P_2,EFP命中概率P_3的连乘积.文中提出了末敏弹目标捕获拦的概念.并举例对某末敏弹命中概率进行了计算.结果表明,可比一般榴弹命中概率提高100～150倍以上.同时在EFP命中概率计算中提出了“必要扫入值”的概念,但限于篇幅,文中对敏感概率P_2未展开讨论.This paper describes the trajectory of terminal activated munition as three sec-tions,i.e.uncontrolled section,parabolic section and activation section.The hit proba-bility P of terminal activated munition is the product of serial multiplication of acquisi-tion probability P_1,activation probability P_2 and EFP hit probability P_3.It has putforward the concept of 'target acquisition basket' and calculates the hit probability ofthe terminal activated munition fired from a cannon howitzer,as an example.The resultsshow it increases the hit probability by 100 to 150 times as compared with that for aconventional howitzer shells.It also put forward the concept of 'necessary sweep—invalue' in the calculation of EFP hit probability,.But this paper has not discussedactivation probability P_2 by reason of paper length.

关 键 词：末端敏感弹 命中概率 反坦克导弹 

分 类 号：TJ761.12[兵器科学与技术—武器系统与运用工程]