灰色模型在大坝变形监测与预报中的应用  

The gray model application for main dam deformation monitoring and forecast

作　　者：尹志政[1] 张家生[1] 

机构地区：[1]中南大学土木建筑学院,湖南长沙410075

出　　处：《广西水利水电》2002年第4期13-15,共3页Guangxi Water Resources & Hydropower Engineering

摘　　要：　建立有效实用的大坝变形监测模型,对于大坝运行意义重大。目前国内外常用统计模型和确定性模型来预报大坝变形,但精度普遍不高。作者提出一种基于不确定性模型的非等间隔灰色模型对大坝变形进行监测预报。预报过程建立在数学基础上,而且预报结果的精度能够满足工程需要。With shortage of statistic/determinative models used in dam at home and abroad, the gray model based on one of nonrestrictive unequal interval models is to use for prediction and monitoring of dam deformation. The mentioned deformation is predicted by using the gray model based on mathematics herein. The outcome precision can match the need.

关 键 词：灰色模型 大坝 变形监测 预报 

分 类 号：TV698.11[水利工程—水利水电工程]