基于GTWR模型的黄河流域城乡融合发展时空分异与驱动机制  

Spatio-temporal differentiation and driving mechanism of urban-rural integrated development in the Yellow River Basin based on GTWR model

作　　者：郭付友 李睿 尹鹏 孙永胜[3] Guo Fuyou;Li Rui;Yin Peng;Sun Yongsheng(School of Geography and Tourism,Qufu Normal University,Rizhao 276800,Shandong,China;School of Business,Ludong University,Yantai 264025,Shandong,China;Key Research Institute of Yellow River Civilization and Sustainable Development&Collaborative Innovation Center on Yellow River Civilization,Henan University,Kaifeng 475001,Henan,China)

机构地区：[1]曲阜师范大学地理与旅游学院,山东日照276800 [2]鲁东大学商学院,山东烟台264025 [3]河南大学黄河文明与可持续发展研究中心暨黄河文明省部共建协同创新中心,河南开封475001

出　　处：《地理科学》2024年第12期2166-2175,共10页Scientia Geographica Sinica

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(41801105,42401212);山东省自然科学基金项目(ZR2024MD022);山东省社会科学规划研究项目(23CGLJ15);山东省高等学校青创科技支持计划(2022RW040)资助。

摘　　要：本文基于城乡融合发展内涵,以黄河流域78个地级市为案例研究区域,从5个维度科学构建了黄河流域城乡融合发展评价指标体系,并采用熵值法、空间自相关分析、时空地理加权回归模型等多种计量方法综合研究了2011―2021年黄河流域城乡融合发展的时空分异特征与驱动机制。结果如下:(1)黄河流域城乡融合发展水平总体呈上升趋势,低水平区域不断减少,高水平区域持续增加。城乡融合水平下游地区整体高于中、上游地区,且大致呈现由西向东递增的格局;(2)黄河流域城乡融合发展水平空间集聚特征显著,整体存在较为明显的空间依存关系,高值区主要集中分布在黄河流域东部、北部地区;(3)黄河流域城乡融合发展是众多因素的多尺度与多时空交互融合发展的结果,且各驱动因素均具有明显的时空差异,在空间异质性方面呈现出空间带状或片状分布规律。Based on the connotation of urban-rural integrated development,78 prefecture-level cities in the Yellow River Basin were taken as the case study areas,the evaluation index system of urban-rural integrated development in the Yellow River Basin was scientifically constructed from 5 dimensions,and multiple measurement methods were used to comprehensively study the spatio-temporal differentiation and driving mechanism of urban-rural integrated development in the Yellow River Basin in 2011—2021.The results are obtained as follows:1)The level of urban-rural integration in the Yellow River Basin is generally on an upward trend,with lowlevel areas decreasing and high-level areas continuing to increase.The level of urban-rural integration in the downstream areas is generally higher than that in the middle and upstream areas,and generally shows a pattern of increasing from west to east;2)Spatial clustering characteristics are significant,the overall existence of a more obvious spatial dependence,high value areas are mainly concentrated in the eastern and northern areas of the Yellow River Basin;3)The integrated development of urban and rural areas is the result of multi-scale and multi-factor interactive and integrated development driven by the interaction of many factors,and the driving factors have obvious spatial and temporal differences,showing spatial heterogeneity in spatial bands or pieces of the distribution pattern.

关 键 词：城乡融合 时空地理加权回归 黄河流域 

分 类 号：F291.3[经济管理—国民经济]