黄河流域新质生产力发展水平测度、区域差异及动态演进  

Measurement of the Development Level,Regional Differences,and Dynamic Evolution of New Quality Productive Forces in the Yellow River Basin

作　　者：杨美沂[1] 刘漩 张宗宾 樊庆曦 YANG Meiyi;LIU Xuan;ZHANG Zongbin;FAN Qingxi(School of Economics,Northwest Normal University,Lanzhou 730070,China)

机构地区：[1]西北师范大学经济学院,甘肃兰州730070

出　　处：《人民黄河》2025年第1期15-22,共8页Yellow River

基　　金：国家社会科学基金西部项目(21XSH014);甘肃省科技计划资助项目软科学专项(22JR4ZA054)。

摘　　要：为了解黄河流域新质生产力发展水平,基于新质生产力高科技、高效能、高质量的特征构建评价指标体系,采用熵值法测度2012—2022年黄河流域新质生产力发展水平,利用Dagum基尼系数研究区域差异,运用HP滤波分解、核密度估计及自然断点法探究时空演变情况。研究结果表明:黄河流域新质生产力发展水平总体呈上升趋势;区域差异呈扩大态势,区域间差异是总体差异产生的主要来源;时序演变中周期波动较大,高质量维度时序演进与其他维度存在差异;空间分布呈现“一枝独秀”的断层式发展格局,两极分化严重。In order to understand the development level of new quality productive forces in the Yellow River Basin,this article built an evaluation index system based on the high-tech,high-efficiency and high-quality characteristics of new quality productive forces.The entropy method was used to measure the development level of new quality productive forces in the Yellow River Basin from 2012 to 2022.The Dagum Gini coefficient was used to study regional differences,and HP filtering decomposition,kernel density estimation and natural breakpoint method were used to explore the spatiotemporal evolution process.The research results indicate that the overall level of new quality productivity forces in the Yellow River Basin is on the rise;regional differences are expanding,and inter regional differences are the main source of overall differences;periodic fluctuations are significant in temporal evolution,the temporal evolution characteristics of high-quality dimensions are different from those of other dimensions;the spatial distribution presents a fault-like development pattern of “one branch standing alone”,and the polarization is serious.

关 键 词：新质生产力 区域差异 动态演进 黄河流域 

分 类 号：F424[经济管理—产业经济] TV882.1[水利工程—水利水电工程]