京津冀文化、体育和旅游产业与国民经济各产业关联关系及其演化——基于中国区域间投入产出表的测算  

The Relationship and Evolution of the Cultural,Sports,and Tourism Industries in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region with Various National Economic Sectors:Based on the Calculation of China's Inter-Regional Input-Output Tables

作　　者：焦莉莉 王志芳[2] 张丹[2] Jiao Lili;Wang Zhifang;Zhang Dan(School of Economics,Hebei GEO University,Shijiazhuang 050031,China;Academy of International Trade and Economic Cooperation,Ministry of Commerce,Beijing 100710,China)

机构地区：[1]河北地质大学经济学院,石家庄050031 [2]商务部国际贸易经济合作研究院,北京100710

出　　处：《大理大学学报》2025年第1期32-43,共12页Journal of Dali University

基　　金：河北省文化艺术科学规划和旅游研究重点项目(HB23-ZD018);河北省社会科学基金一般项目(HB23YJ012);河北地质大学博士科研启动基金项目(BQ2024090)。

摘　　要：新发展格局下,京津冀协同发展是国家区域发展战略的重要一环。三地产业协同发展是区域一体化的核心动力。当前,文化、体育和旅游产业融合与协同已成为京津冀区域发展的重要力量和抓手。基于2012年和2017年中国区域间投入产出表,从国民经济整体、三次产业和细分产业层面,对京津冀文化、体育和旅游产业与国民经济各部门的后向与前向关联关系及其演变特征进行分析。研究发现,京津冀文化、体育和旅游产业的影响力系数和感应度系数均呈上升趋势,但其影响力系数均高于感应度系数,属于需求拉动型而非供给推动型产业。对第一产业的后向和前向关联关系均较弱;对第二产业后向关联京津显著下降,河北明显上升,前向关联北京市和河北省显著下降,天津市明显上升;对第三产业后向关联均越来越强,前向产业关联北京大幅下降,津冀则明显上升,京津冀对国内租赁和商务服务、造纸印刷和文教体育用品、文化、体育和旅游产品等八类产业均有较高后向依赖。北京市倾向于文化、体育和旅游产业、公共管理等服务部门的前向供给,而天津市和河北省则更多倾向于金属冶炼和压延产品、化学产品等制造业部门前向供给。研究对京津冀区域发展战略的推进和政策制定具有重要意义,不仅为京津冀文化、体育和旅游产业的高质量发展提供了科学的数据支撑,同时也为京津冀及我国其他区域协同发展战略的实施提供有益的决策参考。In the era of new development,the coordinated development of Beijing,Tianjin and Hebei is an important part of China's national regional development strategy.The coordinated development of industries in the three places is the core driving force for regional integration.Currently,the integration and coordination of the cultural,sports,and tourism industries have become an important force and means for the development of the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region.Based on the Chinese regional input-output tables of 2012 and 2017,this paper analyzes the backward and forward linkage relationships and their evolutionary characteristics between the cultural,sports,and tourism industries in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region and various sectors of the national economy from the perspectives of the whole national economy,the three major industries,and the subdivided industries.The study finds that both the influence coefficient and the inductance coefficient of the cultural,sports,and tourism industries in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region show an upward trend,but the influence coefficient is higher than the inductance coefficient,indicating that these industries are driven by demand rather than supply.The backward and forward linkages with the primary industry are both weak;the backward linkages with the secondary industry have significantly decreased in Beijing and Tianjin but have noticeably increased in Hebei.The forward linkages have significantly decreased in Beijing and Hebei while noticeably increasing in Tianjin;the backward linkages with the tertiary industry are becoming stronger,while the forward linkages have sharply decreased in Beijing but increased in Tianjin and Hebei.The Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region has high backward dependence on eight types of industries such as domestic leasing and business services,paper printing and cultural,educational,sports goods,and cultural,sports,and tourism products.Beijing tends to provide forward supply to service sectors such as the cultural,sports,and tourism industries and public ma

关 键 词：京津冀 文化、体育和旅游产业 投入产出 关联关系 

分 类 号：F062.9[经济管理—政治经济学]