中国城乡融合和区域协调发展联动的时空分异与形成机理  

Spatial and Temporal Differentiation and Formation Mechanisms of the Linkage of Urban‑Rural Integration and Regional Coordinated Development in China

作　　者：高杨 杨洋[3] 吴振磊 GAO Yang;YANG Yang;WU Zhenlei(School of Economics and Management,Northwest University,Xian 710127,China;College of Economics,Qufu Normal University,Rizhao 276826,China;College of Economics and Management,Northwest A&F University,Xianyang 710100,China)

机构地区：[1]西北大学经济管理学院,陕西西安710127 [2]曲阜师范大学经济学院,山东日照276826 [3]西北农林科技大学经济管理学院,陕西咸阳712100

出　　处：《财经问题研究》2025年第1期114-128,F0003,共16页Research On Financial and Economic Issues

基　　金：国家社会科学基金一般项目“有为‘链长’赋能绿色低碳农业产业链研究”(22BGL164)。

摘　　要：推动中国城乡融合和区域协调发展联动是高质量发展的应有之义。本文在测算2005—2019年中国30个省(市、区)城乡融合水平和区域协调发展水平的基础上,通过耦合协调度模型测算中国城乡融合和区域协调发展联动水平,综合利用核密度估计、Dagum基尼系数、Moran's I指数揭示联动水平的时空分异特征,并从经济、制度和社会环境三个维度出发,借助地理探测器探究联动水平时空分异的形成机理。研究发现:联动水平呈现明显的上升趋势,但距优质协调还存在较大差距,东部地区联动水平明显高于中部地区和西部地区,联动水平地区差异主要来源于组间差异;各地区联动水平逐渐呈现出稳定的“高—高”“低—低”的空间集聚特征;城镇化发展、交通通达性、人口规模、人力资本、市场一体化、互联网普及率、教育投入、政府公共支出对联动水平空间差异的作用力依次降低,且不同地区、不同时期各影响因素的作用力具有明显差异;不同影响因素两两之间的交互作用均呈现出增强关系,主要表现为非线性增强和双因子增强。本文的研究对实现高质量发展和全面推进中国式现代化建设具有重要价值。Urban‑rural integration and regional coordinated development are not only a long‑standing strategic goal of China but also an important issue in current social development.Although existing research proposes to promote the linkage of urban‑rural integration and regional coordinated development,most of them are theoretical discussions and lack of quantitative analysis of the linkage of urban‑rural integration and regional coordinated development.Based on the measurement of urban‑rural integration and regional coordinated development in 30 provincial‑level regions from 2005 to 2019,this paper uses the coupling coordination model to measure the urban‑rural integration and regional coordinated development and utilizes kernel density estimation,Dagum Gini coefficient and Morans I index to reveal the characteristics of spatial and temporal differentiation.From the perspectives of economic,institutional and social environment,with the help of the geographic detector,this paper explores the formation mechanism of spatial and temporal differentiation of the linkage level.Research findings show that the linkage level shows a clear upward trend,but there is still a big gap with high‑quality coordination.It presents the spatial distribution pattern of decreasing in the order of eastern region,central,and western regions.The linkage level of each region shows the stable spatial agglomeration characteristics of“high‑high”and“low‑low”;the effect of urbanization,transportation accessibility,population size,human capital,market integration,Internet penetration rate,education input,and government public expenditure on the spatial difference of linkage level decreases successively,and the influencing factors have obvious differences in different regions and periods.The interaction between different influencing factors showed an enhanced relationship.Compared with existing literature,this paper makes the following contributions.Firstly,from the perspective of research,this paper integrates urban‑rural i

关 键 词：城乡融合 区域协调发展 联动水平 时空分异 地理探测器 

分 类 号：F323[经济管理—产业经济] F127