灌溉诱发型滑坡风险下农户对节水农业的采纳意愿研究  

Study on Farmers'Willingness to Adopt Water-Saving Agriculture Under the Risk of Irrigation-Induced Landslide

作　　者：王彦平 王珏 刘丽梅 WANG Yan-ping;WANG Jue;LIU Li-mei(School of Business,Chengdu University of Technology,Chengdu 610059,Sichuan Province,China)

机构地区：[1]成都理工大学商学院,四川成都610059

出　　处：《节水灌溉》2025年第1期77-85,共9页Water Saving Irrigation

基　　金：国家自然科学基金青年基金项目“农户生计与滑坡灾害互馈机制及减灾路径优化——以黄土高原灌溉诱发型滑坡区为例”(42101216);四川省自然科学基金青年项目“横断山区滑坡风险下农户的生计响应、减灾效应及优化路径”(2023NSFSC0749)。

摘　　要：灌溉诱发型滑坡在我国黄土高原广布频发,对农村社会经济发展和农户生计造成极大威胁。节水农业作为从根本上治理灌溉诱发型滑坡的有效手段,其减灾效果极大依赖于当地农户的采纳及持续使用。研究拓展了英国国际发展署提出的可持续生计框架,从主客观层面阐释农户在自然灾害风险下的技术采纳影响因素,以此为理论基础探究农户对节水农业(包括滴灌设施和抗旱作物)的动态采纳意愿及其作用机制,以期理解灾害风险下的农户决策并为防灾减灾提供参考。以具有“现代滑坡天然实验室”之称的甘肃永靖黑方台为研究区,利用363份农户问卷数据和二元Logistic模型进行分析。结果表明:①社会资本对不同滑坡经历农户的节水农业采纳意愿均有显著正向影响,而自然资本对未经历滑坡的农户有显著负向影响,心理资本对经历过滑坡的农户有显著正向影响;②自我效能能够加强心理资本对初次采纳意愿的影响;③农户持续使用节水农业的意愿低于初次采纳的意愿,并且人力资本显著负向影响农户持续使用意愿。研究成果有助于明晰农户初次和持续采纳节水农业意愿的动态变化,厘清影响农户采纳节水农业意愿的因素及其作用机制,为灌溉诱发型滑坡区和其他地区节水农业的推广和防灾减灾提供启示。Irrigation-induced landslides are widespread and frequent in the Loess Plateau of China,posing significant threats to rural socioeconomic development and farmers′livelihoods.As an effective measure to address irrigation-induced landslides at their root,the disaster mitigation potential of water-saving agriculture largely depends on local farmers′adoption and sustained use.This study expands on the sustainable livelihood framework proposed by the UK Department for International Development,providing an in-depth exploration of the subjective and objective factors influencing farmers′adoption of technologies in the face of natural disaster risks.Using this framework,the study examines the dynamic adoption intentions of farmers towards water-saving agriculture(including drip irrigation systems and droughtresistant crops)and its underlying mechanisms,with the goal of better understanding decision-making in disaster-prone areas and offering insights for disaster prevention and mitigation.The research is conducted in Heifangtai,Yongjing County,Gansu Province,known as the“natural laboratory for modern landslides,”using data from 363 farmer surveys and a binary logistic regression model.The results show that:①Social capital positively influences the adoption intentions of both farmers with and without landslide experience,while natural capital negatively affects those without such experience,and psychological capital has a positive effect on farmers with landslide experience.②Selfefficacy can strengthen the influence of psychological capital on initial adoption intention;③Farmers′willingness to continue using watersaving agriculture is lower than their initial adoption willingness,with human capital having a significant negative impact on sustained use intentions.This study clarifies the dynamic shifts in farmers′initial and continued adoption of water-saving agriculture,identifies the key factors influencing adoption intentions,and provides insights for promoting water-saving agriculture and disaster

关 键 词：节水农业 采纳意愿 生计资本 灌溉诱发型滑坡 可持续生计框架(SLF) 心理资本 防灾减灾 

分 类 号：F323.3[经济管理—产业经济] S274[农业科学—农业水土工程]