人口高质量发展促进银发经济繁荣——内在逻辑与路径选择  

Promoting Silver Economy Prosperity Through High-Quality Population Development--Internal Logic and Path Selection

作　　者：杨菊华 刘轶锋 Yang Juhua;Liu Yifeng(Research Center for Population and Ethnic Development,Minzu University of China,Beijing 100081,P.R.China;College of Humanities and Social Sciences,Nanjing Forestry University,Nanjing 210037,P.R.China)

机构地区：[1]中央民族大学人口与民族发展研究中心,北京100081 [2]南京林业大学人文社会科学学院,南京210037

出　　处：《山东大学学报(哲学社会科学版)》2025年第1期97-109,共13页Journal of Shandong University(Philosophy and Social Sciences)

基　　金：研究阐释党的二十大精神国家社科基金重大项目“人口规模巨大的现代化:时空特征、机遇挑战与路径机制研究”(23ZDA019);国家社科基金青年项目“‘退休潮’背景下新老年群体的消费需求及释放路径研究”(24CRK004)。

摘　　要：人口与经济协调发展是中国式现代化的核心命题之一。大力发展银发经济已成为中国积极应对人口老龄化、培育经济发展新动能的重要举措。随着中国人口发展步入新阶段,人口高质量发展为银发经济繁荣提供了新思路、新方法和新途径。人口高质量发展与银发经济之间的关系,既源于马尔萨斯和马克思的人口理论,又是生产性老龄化和第二次人口红利等理论的具体实践。在内在逻辑上,老年人口的总量充裕可推动消费需求的规模化,素质优良可推动消费习惯的品质化,结构优化可促进消费产品的精细化,分布合理可诱发银发市场的层次化。实现人口高质量发展与银发经济齐头并进,可从践行积极老龄观、强化创新驱动、做好分层分类、提升人口素质、促进城乡融合发展等方面着手,落实积极应对人口老龄化战略。The coordinated development of population and economy is a fundamental proposition of Chinese modernization.Chinese society is currently experiencing two significant transformations.First,population development has entered a new normal,characterized by emerging trends including declining birth rates,population aging,and regional demographic divergence.Second,economic development is transitioning from an extensive growth model based primarily on labor consumption to a new quality of productivity.This new productivity paradigm emphasizes technological innovation,intelligent systems,sustainability,and optimal human resource allocation Such a shift aims to promote changes in production methods and organizational structures to enhance production efficiency and economic quality.The existing demographic challenges impose substantial pressures on economic and social development,necessitating innovative approaches and strategies in population development to effectively address these urgent issues.The vigorous development of the silver economy has become a crucial strategy for China to address population aging and cultivate new economic growth drivers.The relationship between high-quality population development and silver economy prosperity is rooted in both Malthusian and Marxist population theories while embodying practical applications of productive aging and second demographic dividend.High-quality population development,which aims to achieve a population characterized by excellent quality,appropriate scale,optimized structure,and rational distribution,represents a breakthrough strategy to enhance the synergy between the current new normal of China’s population development and economic-social progress.This paper examines the interactive relationship between high-quality population development and the emerging silver economy paradigm through four dimensions:quantity,structure,quality,and distribution.Analysis reveals that the substantial elderly population drives consumption demand scale,structural optimization promot

关 键 词：人口高质量发展 银发经济 积极应对人口老龄化 人口与经济协调发展 中国式现代化 

分 类 号：C924.24[社会学—人口学] D669.6[政治法律—政治学] F124[政治法律—中外政治制度]