中国省际旅游经济网络结构韧性演化特征及差异形成机制  

Characteristics of change of the structural resilience of China’s inter-provincial tourism economic network and the formation mechanism of differences

作　　者：王凯[1] 赵燕 谭佳欣 刘美伦 甘畅 WANG Kai;ZHAO Yan;TAN Jiaxin;LIU Meilun;GAN Chang(College of Tourism,Hunan Normal University,Changsha 410081,China;School of Management,Wuhan Polytechnic University,Wuhan 430048,China)

机构地区：[1]湖南师范大学旅游学院,长沙410081 [2]武汉轻工大学管理学院,武汉430048

出　　处：《地理科学进展》2024年第12期2442-2456,共15页Progress in Geography

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目(22BJL059);湖南省国内一流培育学科建设项目(地理学-5010002)。

摘　　要：旅游经济网络结构韧性是旅游经济稳定性与恢复性的结构保障,是未来旅游经济恢复与振兴的重要指向。基于2001—2022年省际面板数据,在借助修正引力模型构建旅游经济空间关联矩阵的基础上,论文运用复杂网络理论、计算机仿真模拟和模糊集定性比较分析法(fsQCA)探究中国省际旅游经济网络结构韧性演化特征及差异形成机制。结果发现:①中国省际旅游经济网络结构韧性在时序上呈现“上升—下降—上升”的波动演化态势,在空间上存在区域差异,北京、天津、上海、浙江与江苏的旅游经济网络结构韧性较强。②中国省际旅游经济网络层级性不断降低,“核心—边缘”间的层级差异逐渐缩小;网络具有异配性,浙江、江苏、广东等省份网络扁平化特征较为显著;网络具备良好的传输性,黑龙江、吉林、新疆等省份网络可达性和扩散性相对较高;网络集聚效应有所提升,辽宁与山东的网络集聚性相对较强。③中国省际旅游经济网络结构韧性随着随机攻击与蓄意攻击比例增大呈现阶段性变化特征,在随机攻击下网络表现出鲁棒性,在蓄意攻击下网络脆弱性特征更为显著。④中国省际旅游经济网络结构韧性差异的形成原因具有非对称性,“经济驱动型”与“经济—政府二元主导型”是高旅游经济网络结构韧性的前因构型,而低旅游经济网络结构韧性是由交通便利程度、信息化水平等后天条件供给不足、经济实力不够强劲所致。研究结果可为推动旅游经济高质量发展提供实践参考。The structural resilience of the tourism economic network is a structural guarantee for the stability and resilience of the tourism economy,and is an important point for the future recovery and revitalization of the tourism economy.Based on China's inter-provincial panel data from 2001 to 2022,and on the basis of constructing the spatial correlation of China's inter-provincial tourism economy with the help of the modified gravity model,this study used the complex network theory,computer simulation,and fsQCA to explore the characteristics of change of structural resilience of China's inter-provincial tourism economic network and the formation mechanism of differences.The results show that:1)The structural resilience of China's inter-provincial tourism economic network showed a fluctuating trend of rising-declining-rising in the study period,and there were regional differences in space,with stronger structural resilience in the tourism economic network of Beijing,Tianjin,Shanghai,Zhejiang,and Jiangsu.2)The hierarchical nature of China's inter-provincial tourism economic network had been decreasing,and the hierarchical difference between the core and the periphery had gradually narrowed;the network was heterogeneous,with more significant network flattening characteristics in Zhejiang,Jiangsu,and Guangdong provinces;the network had good transmission ability,with relatively high network accessibility and diffusion in provincial-level units such as Heilongjiang,Jilin,and Xinjiang;the network agglomeration effect had increased,with Liaoning and Shandong provinces having relatively strong network agglomeration.3)The structural resilience of China's inter-provincial tourism economic network showed phased change characteristics with the increase of attack ratio,the network showed robustness under random attacks,and the vulnerability of the network became more significant under deliberate attacks.4)The reasons for the differences in the structural resilience of China's inter-provincial tourism economic networks were asymmet

关 键 词：旅游经济网络结构韧性 修正引力模型 复杂网络理论 计算机仿真模拟 fsQCA 

分 类 号：F59[经济管理—旅游管理]