大连市人海关系地域系统韧性演化及海陆梯度性特征分析  

Resilience change and land-sea gradient characteristic analysis of the human-sea regional system in Dalian City

作　　者：李博[1] 王一雯 李欣媛 孙思 LI Bo;WANG Yiwen;LI Xinyuan;SUN Si(Key Research Base of Humanities and Social Sciences of Ministry of Education,Institute of Marine Sustainable Development,Liaoning Normal University,Dalian 116029,Liaoning,China;School of Geography,Liaoning Normal University,Dalian 116029,Liaoning,China)

机构地区：[1]教育部人文社科重点研究基地“辽宁师范大学海洋可持续发展研究院”,辽宁大连116029 [2]辽宁师范大学地理科学学院,辽宁大连116029

出　　处：《地理科学进展》2024年第12期2457-2469,共13页Progress in Geography

基　　金：教育部人文社会科学重点研究基地重大项目(22JJD790029);辽宁省属本科高校基本科研业务费专项(LJ212410165005)。

摘　　要：韧性是全球变化和环境与发展研究的热点和重要领域,为区域可持续发展研究提供了新的研究框架和有效的分析工具。论文将人海关系地域系统和韧性相结合,构建人海关系地域系统韧性的理论逻辑框架,综合内部因素和外部干扰,获取多源空间大数据,结合层次分析、核密度分析和GIS空间分析法构建指标体系,采用探索性数据分析的方法进行韧性的时空演化和海陆梯度性特征分析。结果表明:①大连市人海关系地域系统韧性呈现“中部低南北高、沿海低内陆高”的空间分布特征,且逐年递增,缓慢向好,沿海和内陆具有明显的区域差异性;②大连市人海关系地域系统韧性具有蔓延效应,在持续热点周围零散增加新增热点;③大连市人海关系地域系统韧性具有明显的海陆梯度性特征,各准则层韧性由高到低依次为生态环境韧性、气候变化韧性、资源水平韧性和人类活动韧性;整体韧性呈现出距海越远、韧性水平越高的梯度性特征。因此,对于沿海城市的韧性调控在微观上可结合海陆梯度性特征进行分区、分特色治理,宏观上在保证低碳经济的基础上提高海洋经济发展水平,制定蓝碳经济发展蓝图。Resilience is a hot topic in global change and environment and development research,providing a new research framework and practical analytical tool for regional sustainable development studies.This study combined the human-sea regional system with resilience to construct a theoretical framework for the resilience of the human-sea regional system.It integrated internal factors and external disturbances,obtained multi-source data,combined hierarchical analysis,kernel density analysis,and GIS spatial analysis methods to construct an indicator system,and used exploratory data analysis(ESDA)methods to analyze the spatiotemporal change of resilience and the characteristics of land-sea gradient.The main results are as follows:1)The resilience of the human-sea regional system in Dalian City presents a spatial distribution characteristic of low in the middle and high in the south and north,and low along the coast and high inland,and it increases year by year.The coastal and inland regions exhibit distinct regional differences.2)The resilience of the system has a spreading effect,with new hot spots sporadically appearing around the continuous hot spots.3)The resilience of the system has clear land-sea gradient characteristics.The resilience of each criterion layer is ranked in descending order as the resilience of the ecological environment,the resilience to climate change,the resilience of the resources as well as the resilience of human activities;overall resilience presents the gradient characteristic of the further away from the sea,the higher the resilience level.Therefore,the resilience regulation of coastal cities can be combined with the characteristics of the land and sea gradient for detailed governance at the micro level,and improve the level of development of the marine economy at the macro level by developing a low-carbon economy,and formulate a blueprint for the development of a blue-carbon economy.

关 键 词：人海关系地域系统 韧性 海陆梯度性特征 大连市 

分 类 号：F12[经济管理—世界经济]