京津冀数字产业发展的时空特征及动态演化  

Spatio-temporal Characteristics and Dynamic Evolution of Digital Industry Development in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region

作　　者：叶堂林[1] 张彦淑 YE Tang-lin;ZHANG Yan-shu

机构地区：[1]首都经济贸易大学城市经济与公共管理学院

出　　处：《北京社会科学》2025年第1期15-27,共13页Social Sciences of Beijing

基　　金：国家社会科学基金重大项目(23&ZD078)——数字经济对区域协调发展的影响与对策研究。

摘　　要：基于2013—2022年京津冀地区13个城市的行业数据,采用首位度指数、Zipf位序—规模法则和标准差椭圆法,从产业规模、创新能力和引资能力三个层面,对京津冀地区数字产业发展的时空特征与动态演进趋势进行了深入分析,结果显示:京津冀地区数字产业规模差异仍然较大,但规模分布日趋合理;产业规模的空间分布呈显著扩张趋势,但其分布在径向上的不均衡性较为突出。京津冀地区数字产业创新能力不断提升,且地区间差距不断缩小;创新能力呈“先扩张,后集中,再扩张”的空间分布特征,但创新活动主要聚集在北京。京津冀地区数字产业引资能力逐年提高,但分散化的区域集聚特征逐步显现;数字经济服务业的引资能力主要聚集在北京,而数字产品制造业的引资能力则逐步向天津聚集。未来,应从共享共用数字产业创新资源平台、培强做优京津冀地区数字产业集群等方面促进京津冀数字产业发展。Based on the industry data of 13 cities in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region from 2013 to 2022,using the primacy index,Zipf rank-size rule and standard deviation ellipse method,this paper analyzes the spatio-temporal characteristics and dynamic evolution trend of the development of the digital economy in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region from three aspects:industry scale,innovation ability and investment attracting ability.The findings are as follows:the scale difference of the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei digital industry is still large,but the scale distribution is increasingly reasonable;the spatial distribution of industrial scale shows a significant expansion trend,but the radial imbalance is more prominent.The innovation capability of the digital industry in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region has been continuously improved,and the gap between the regions has been continuously narrowed;innovation capacity shows the spatial distribution characteristics of“first expanding,then concentrating,and then expanding”,but innovation activities are mainly concentrated in Beijing.The investment attracting capacity of the digital industry in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region has increased year by year,but the characteristics of decentralized regional agglomeration have gradually emerged;the investment attracting capacity of the digital economy service industry is mainly gathered in Beijing,while the investment attracting capacity of the digital product manufacturing industry is gradually gathered in Tianjin.In the future,we should promote the development of digital industry in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region,such as building and sharing a digital industry innovation resource platform and cultivating and strengthening the digital industry.

关 键 词：数字产业 标准差椭圆法 位序—规模法则 京津冀 动态演化 

分 类 号：F49[经济管理—产业经济]