美国战略鹰派的台湾政策主张及其影响评析  

On the U.S.Strategic Hawks'Taiwan Policy and Its Implications

作　　者：汪曙申[1] Wang Shushen(Institute of Taiwan Studies,Chinese Academy of Social Sciences)

机构地区：[1]中国社会科学院台湾研究所

出　　处：《台海研究》2024年第4期1-12,共12页Cross-Taiwan Strait Studies

摘　　要：中美关系进入以战略竞争为主要特点的阶段以来,美国政府对台政策出现加快掏空“一个中国政策”、持续增强对中国内地的威慑、提升美台实质关系等调整变化。美国“全政府”对华遏制,民主党、共和党在“以台制华”方向上具有高度一致性。共和党战略鹰派的台湾观念、政策主张与行为方式,比民主党建制派更加强硬、更加挑衅,企图利用台湾问题破坏中美关系的政治基础,全面升级对华遏制战略。特朗普再次当选执政,美国战略鹰派重新掌权,将对台海局势造成更大的不确定性和负面冲击。Since the Sino-U.S.relationship has entered a stage characterized primarily by strategic competition,the U.S.government's Taiwan policy has undergone adjustments and changes,such as accelerating the hollowing out of the"One-China Principle",continuously enhancing deterrence against Chinese mainland,and elevating the substantive relationship between the U.S.and the Taiwan region.The U.S.'s"Whole of Government"has been containing China,and it is met with a high degree of consensus between the Democratic and Republican parties to"Exploit Taiwan to Contain China".The Taiwan perceptions,policy positions,and behavioral patterns of the Republican Party's strategic hawks are more hardline and provocative than those of the Democratic establishment,attempting to use the Taiwan question to undermine the political foundation of Sino-U.S.relations and to comprehensively escalate the containment strategy against China.Donald Trump has been re-elected and the strategichawks will regain power,which would create greater uncertainty and negative impacts on the situation across the Strait.

关 键 词：中美关系 美国战略鹰派 台湾观念 台海政策 以台制华 

分 类 号：D77[政治法律—政治学]