美国对华政策调整及其台海政策走向  

Adjustment of U.S.China Policy and Its Taiwan Strait Policy Direction

作　　者：王玮[1,2] Wang Wei(School of International Politics and Economics,University of Chinese Academy of Social Sciences;Foreign Affairs Research Office at the Institute of American Studies,Chinese Academy of Social Science)

机构地区：[1]中国社会科学院大学国际政治经济学院 [2]中国社会科学院美国研究所外交研究室

出　　处：《台海研究》2024年第4期50-59,共10页Cross-Taiwan Strait Studies

摘　　要：近年来,美国放弃对华“接触”政策,转而实施对华竞争战略。中国台湾地区因其地缘战略价值、信号传递价值和社会心理价值,成为美国“以台制华”的重要抓手。美台在军事安全领域的互动成为两岸关系的一个重大风险点。在2024年美国大选中,共和党在总统选举和国会选举中取得全胜,形成“府会一致”的执政格局,特朗普强势回归美国政坛。在竞选期间,特朗普团队强烈要求中国台湾地区大幅提高军费、逼迫中国台湾地区承担更大“安全”责任。如果民进党当局响应美方需求,无限度提高军费开支,只会掏空中国台湾地区、加剧两岸对抗风险。In recent years,The U.S.has abandoned the"engagement"policy toward China,Shifting to a competitive strategy toward China instead.Because of geopolitical strategic value,signal transmission value,and socio-psychological value,the Taiwan region has become an important means for the United States to"Exploit Taiwan to Contain China".The interaction between the U.S.and the Taiwan region in military security has become a major risk for cross-Straits relations.In the 2024 U.S.election,Trump made a powerful return to the American political sphere,and the Republican Party won both the presidential and legislative elections handily,creating a"unified government"governance pattern.During the election campaign,Trump's team strongly urged the Taiwan region to substantially increase military expenditures and forced it to shoulder greater"security"responsibilities.If the DPP's authorities respond to the U.S.and increase its military expenditure without limit,the Taiwan region will only be hollowed out,and the risk of struggles across the Strait will only be heightened.

关 键 词：美国大选 战略竞争 台海局势 “以台制化” 

分 类 号：D67[政治法律—政治学]