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作 者:何富彩[1] He Fucai
机构地区:[1]江西科技师范大学经济管理与法学院
出 处:《经济动态与评论》2024年第2期143-167,248,249,共27页ECONOMIC DYNAMICS AND COMMENTARY
摘 要:本文基于货币能力的理论假设,分析魏晋南北朝近四百年间多次币制改革的原因、影响及其后果。研究发现,其长期通货紧缩下的周期性通货膨胀是由政府铸币能力不足引发的。足够的铸币能力具有两方面的内涵,一方面与政府本身的国家能力密切相关,是指政府汲取资源的能力及社会动员能力;另一方面与公众是否认同政府的新铸金属货币相关,即新铸金属货币的可信性。研究认为,在金属货币时期,国家能力的高低与公众认同与否是政府币制改革能否成功的关键所在。本文进一步拓展了货币非国家化假设,在金属铸币时期,政府垄断货币的权力极大地受制于其自身铸币能力,而国家能力与公众认同是影响政府垄断货币的权力能否发挥作用的关键因素。Based on the theoretical assumption of monetary capacity,this article analyzes the reasons,impacts,and consequences of multiple currency system reforms during the Wei,Jin,Southern and Northern Dynasties in the past four hundred years.This paper re-veals that the cyclical inflation under the long-term deflation was triggered by the lack of monetary capacity in terms of many regimes.Monetary capacity has two connotations.On the one hand,monetary capacity is closely related to the government’s own national capacity,which refers to the government’s ability to absorb resources and mobilize society.On the other hand,monetary capacity is related to whether the public agrees with the government’s newly minted metal currency,that is,the credibility of newly minted metal currency.This paper shed light on that state capacity and public recognition are the key to the success of the monetary reform dominated by current government.This paper further expanded hypothesis of currency denationalization.In the period of metal currency,the power of monopolize currency was greatly hindered by the state capacity of government,and the state capacity and public recognition are the key factors that affect whether the government has enough power to monopolize currency.
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