基于Logit-ISM模型的泉州市纺织鞋服产业链转型升级影响因素分析  

Analysis of Factors Influencing the Transformation and Upgrading of Textile,Shoe and Clothing Industry Chain in Quanzhou City Based on Logit-ISM Model

作　　者：张碧榕 苏元涛 ZHANG Bi-rong;SU Yuan-tao(School of Economics and Management,Quanzhou University of Information Engineering,Quanzhou,Fujian 362000,China)

机构地区：[1]泉州信息工程学院经济与管理学院,福建泉州362000

出　　处：《河北北方学院学报(自然科学版)》2024年第9期38-42,49,共6页Journal of Hebei North University:Natural Science Edition

基　　金：2022年度福建省教育系统哲学社会科学研究项目(JAS22199)。

摘　　要：目的探讨基于Logit-ISM模型的泉州纺织鞋服产业链转型升级影响因素分析方法。方法选取产业链转型升级影响因素中的变量,构建二元Logit模型,获取泉州纺织鞋服产业链转型升级的5个显著性影响因素;在此基础上,采用ISM模型对这5个显著性影响因素的相关性与结构性进行分析。结果产业技术投入、人才和技术、盈利能力、市场需求变化和国际贸易环境这5个变量对泉州纺织鞋服产业链转型升级具有显著性影响。并确定了这些重要影响因素的层次结构:盈利能力是表层直接因素,市场需求变化和国际贸易环境是中层间接因素,而产业技术投入与人才和技术则是深层根源因素。结论产业技术投入、人才和技术、盈利能力、市场需求变化和国际贸易环境这5个变量对泉州纺织鞋服产业链转型升级具有显著性影响,且它们之间存在明确的相关性和层次结构,为政府和企业制定有效的转型升级策略提供了科学依据,有助于推动泉州纺织鞋服产业的持续健康发展。Objective To explore the analysis method of influencing factors on the transformation and upgrading of textile,footwear,and apparel industry chain in Quanzhou City based on Logit-ISM model.Methods Select variables from factors influencing the transformation and upgrading of the industrial chain,and construct a binary Logit model to obtain 5 significant influencing factors of the transformation and upgrading of textile,footwear,and apparel industry chain in Quanzhou City;On this basis,the correlation and structural analysis of these 5 significant influencing factors were conducted by ISM model.Results 5 variables of industrial technology investment,talent and technology,profitability,market demand changes,and international trade environment have a significant impact on the transformation and upgrading of textile,footwear,and apparel industry chain in Quanzhou City.And the hierarchical structure of these significant influencing factors was determined:profitability is the surface direct factor,market demand changes and international trade environment are the intermediate indirect factors,while industrial technology investment and talent and technology are the deep-root factors.Conclusion The five variables of industrial technology investment,talent and technology,profitability,market demand changes,and international trade environment have a significant impact on the transformation and upgrading of textile,footwear,and apparel industry chain in Quanzhou City,and there is a clear correlation and hierarchical structure among them.This provides a scientific basis for the government and enterprises to formulate effective transformation and upgrading strategies,and helps promote the sustainable and healthy development of textile,footwear,and apparel industry in Quanzhou City.

关 键 词：Logit-ISM模型 产业链 转型升级 影响因素 关联矩阵理论 

分 类 号：F327[经济管理—产业经济]