新疆旅游城镇化对乡村振兴的影响效应分析  

Analysis of the Influence of Tourism Urbanization on Rural Revitalization in Xinjiang

作　　者：宋香荣[1] 张凤逸 SONG Xiang-rong;ZHANG Feng-yi(School of Statistics and Data Science,Xinjiang University of Finance and Economics,Urumqi 830012,China)

机构地区：[1]新疆财经大学统计与数据科学学院,乌鲁木齐830012

出　　处：《边疆经济与文化》2025年第1期48-56,共9页The Border Economy and Culture

基　　金：新疆维吾尔自治区社会科学基金项目“高质量发展背景下新疆产业结构优化升级研究”(19BYJ050)。

摘　　要：本文以旅游业发达的新疆地区为研究对象,对2000—2022年新疆旅游城镇化和乡村振兴进行测度,构建二者的障碍度模型及VAR模型,运用格兰杰因果关系检验等方法来检验二者关系。实证研究显示,在新疆旅游城镇化的发展过程中,旅游与生态问题构成了主要障碍因素,新疆旅游城镇化与乡村振兴之间存在单一驱动关系,新疆旅游城镇化进程的发展是乡村振兴发展的原因之一。旅游城镇化是推动乡村经济增长、提升居民生活品质的重要途径,新疆乡村振兴的可持续发展需要各方协作,共同发展。This paper takes Xinjiang,a region with developed tourism industry,as the research object,measures tourism urbanization and rural revitalization in Xinjiang from 2000 to 2022,constructs the barrier degree model and VAR model of the two,and applies Granger causality test and other methods to test the relationship between the two.The empirical study shows that tourism and ecological problems constitute the main obstacle factors in the development process of tourism urbanization in Xinjiang,and there is a single-driven relationship between tourism urbanization and rural revitalization in Xinjiang,and the development of tourism urbanization process in Xinjiang is one of the reasons for the development of rural revitalization.Tourism urbanization is an important way to promote rural economic growth and improve the quality of life of residents,and the sustainable development of rural revitalization in Xinjiang requires the collaboration of all parties.

关 键 词：旅游城镇化 乡村振兴 VAR模型 障碍度分析 格兰杰因果关系检验 

分 类 号：F291.1[经济管理—国民经济] F327