全国统一大市场建设与新质生产力发展——基于中国省级面板数据的实证分析  

Construction of a unified national market and the development of new quality productivity:Empirical analysis based on provincial panel data in China

作　　者：申杰 昌忠泽[2] 毛培 SHEN Jie;CHANG Zhongze;MAO Pei(School of EconomicsCentral University of Finance and Economics,Beijing 100081,P.R.China;Research Institute of Finance and Economics,Central University of Finance and Economics,Beijing 100081,P.R.China;Macroeconomic Department,Research Center of the General Administration of Customs,Beijing 100730,P.R.China)

机构地区：[1]中央财经大学经济学院,北京100081 [2]中央财经大学财经研究院,北京100081 [3]中国海关总署研究中心宏观经济研究部,北京100730

出　　处：《重庆大学学报(社会科学版)》2024年第6期56-71,共16页Journal of Chongqing University(Social Science Edition)

基　　金：中央财经大学2023年度一流学科建设项目“财政政策和货币政策协调配合研究”(2023020)。

摘　　要：整合地方分散、封闭的区域市场,构建全国范围内统一开放的大市场体系,不仅产生了更大的专业化分工优势,提高了资源配置效率,而且为产业发展创造了广阔的市场空间,这能否促进战略性新兴产业和未来产业的形成,推动新质生产力发展?文章基于2010—2022年中国省级面板数据,以熵值法从科技生产力、绿色生产力和数字生产力三个维度构建新质生产力指标,并运用双固定效应模型、两阶段最小二乘法、空间杜宾模型等多种计量技术,分析全国统一大市场建设对新质生产力发展的影响,研究发现:整体而言,全国统一大市场建设可以助力新质生产力提升,经过内生性检验以及替换核心解释变量、替换被解释变量、删除特殊样本等其他稳健性检验后仍然成立。作用机制检验发现,统一大市场建设扩大了市场需求,促进了基础研究,激发了企业家精神,进而推动了新质生产力发展。异质性分析发现,全国统一大市场建设对新质生产力发展的影响存在显著的地区异质性和维度异质性特征。地区层面,相较于东部地区,统一大市场对新质生产力发展的助力作用在中西部地区更加显著。维度层面,全国统一大市场建设可以有效促进科技生产力和数字生产力发展,但对绿色生产力的影响尚未显现。空间溢出效应分析发现,统一大市场在促进本地区新质生产力发展的同时,也会促进周边其他地区新质生产力发展。文章的特色与创新主要体现在:在研究视角上,立足全国统一大市场建设背景,考察了全国统一大市场建设对新质生产力发展的影响效应,为相关研究提供了一个新视角的补充;在研究内容上,新质生产力是马克思主义生产力理论的中国创新和实践,文章从理论和实证层面论证了以统一大市场建设推进新质生产力提升的必要性和有效性,并进一步检验了新质生产力发展的空间Integrating dispersed and closed regional markets and building a unified and open national market system not only generates greater professional division of labor advantages,improves resource allocation efficiency,but also creates broad market space for industrial development.Can this promote the formation of strategic emerging industries and future industries,and promote the development of new quality productivity?This article is based on provincial-level panel data in China from 2010 to 2022.The entropy method is used to construct new quality productivity indicators from three dimensions:technological productivity,green productivity,and digital productivity.Multiple econometric techniques such as the double fixed effects model,two-stage least squares method,and spatial Durbin model are used to analyze the impact of the construction of a unified national market on the development of new quality productivity.The study finds that,overall,the construction of a unified national market can help improve new quality productivity.After endogeneity testing,and other robustness tests such as replacing core explanatory variables,replacing dependent variables,and deleting special samples,it still holds.The mechanism of action test finds that the construction of a unified large market has expanded market demand,promoted basic research,stimulated entrepreneurial spirit,and further promoted the development of new quality productivity.Heterogeneity analysis reveals significant regional and dimensional heterogeneity in the impact of the construction of a unified national market on the development of new quality productivity.At the regional level,compared to the eastern region,the supportive effect of the unified large market on the development of new quality productivity is more significant in the central and western regions.At the dimensional level,the construction of a unified national market can effectively promote the development of technological and digital productivity,but its impact on green productivity has not yet been

关 键 词：统一大市场 新质生产力 市场需求 基础研究 企业家精神 

分 类 号：F123.9[经济管理—世界经济] F124