现代物流业高质量发展动力机制研究  

Research on the Driving Mechanism of High-Quality Development of Modern Logistics

作　　者：周云飞 王莉 ZHOU Yunfei;WANG Li(Xi'an University of Finance and Economics,Xi'an,Shaanxi 710100)

机构地区：[1]西安财经大学,陕西西安710100

出　　处：《物流技术》2025年第1期25-36,共12页Logistics Technology

基　　金：国家社会科学基金年度项目一般项目(23BGL252);陕西高校青年创新团队项目(23JP048)。

摘　　要：现代物流业的高质量发展对于提升经济运行效率和竞争力、优化经济结构具有重要意义。基于系统动力学的因果关系和反馈机制原理,构建了现代物流业高质量发展的动力系统,并进行仿真分析。结果表明,物流业固定资产投资和R&D经费投入作为外生变量对现代物流业高质量发展影响最大,且其联合效应更为显著。固定资产投资和R&D经费的增加不仅提升了物流系统的物理承载能力和作业效率,还显著拉动了物流信息化投资和交通运输支出的增长。然而,两者的独立贡献路径有所不同,具体而言,固定资产投资主要通过直接促进物流设施与设备的建设与更新,提升物流系统的物理承载能力和作业效率,从而增强物流业的实际生产能力,推动产值增长;而R&D经费投入则侧重于技术创新和产业升级,通过提升物流技术的先进性、智能化程度以及核心竞争力,间接提升物流业的整体经济效益和产值水平。该研究为现代物流业转型升级和创新发展提供了理论支持和实践指导。The high-quality development of modern logistics is of vital importance for improving economic efficiency and competitiveness,as well as optimizing economic structures.This study,based on the principles of causal relationships and feedback mechanisms in system dynamics,constructs a driving force system for the high-quality development of modern logistics and subsequently conducts quantitative simulations.The results reveal that fixed asset investments and R&D expenditures,as exogenous variables,exert the greatest impact on the high-quality development in modern logistics,particularly with their combined effects.Not only do they boost the physical carrying capacity and operational efficiency of logistics systems,but also significantly increase investments in logistics informationization and transportation expenses.However,the independent contribution paths of the two are different.Specifically,the fixed asset investments improve the physical carrying capacity and operational efficiency by direct construction and upgrading of logistics facilities and equipment,thus advancing the industry's actual output and the corresponding output value.On the other hand,the R&D expenditures indirectly enhance the overall economic efficiency and output value via technological innovation and industrial upgrading for more advanced logistical technologies,intelligent levels and competitive edges.This study is expected to provide theoretical support and practical guidance for transformation,upgrading and innovation in modern logistics.

关 键 词：现代物流业 高质量发展 动力机制 系统动力学 

分 类 号：F252[经济管理—国民经济]