后发国家移动支付产业赶超的机会窗口——以肯尼亚、中国和印度为例  

The Windows of Opportunity for The Latecomer Countries to Catch up With The First⁃mover Countries in Mobile Payment Industry—Case Studies of Kenya,China,and India

作　　者：夏敏[1] 邹仪婷 Xia Min;Zou Yiting(School of International Studies,Renmin University of China)

机构地区：[1]中国人民大学国际关系学院

出　　处：《世界政治研究》2022年第4期56-104,158,共50页World Politics Studies

摘　　要：伴随着移动通信技术和移动终端技术的日益成熟,移动支付产业在全球蓬勃发展。后发国家在移动支付的普及率和交易规模上都实现了对先发国家的赶超,而先发国家的移动支付产业却发展得不尽人意。本文构建了一个由部门创新系统的变动引发的技术窗口、需求窗口和政策窗口的分析框架,用以解释后发国家在移动支付产业上如何对先发国家实现赶超的问题。在肯尼亚、中国与印度这三个后发国家的移动支付产业发展过程中,知识和技术、需求条件和参与者主体与制度环境的变动带来了技术窗口、需求窗口和政策窗口。三国为移动支付产业的发展采取了积极的应对策略,有效地利用了这些机会窗口,从而实现了移动支付产业对先发国家的赶超。With the development of mobile communication technology and mo⁃bile terminal technology,mobile payment industry is booming in the world.The mobile payment industry in latecomer countries has made great achievements and has overtaken the first⁃mover countries in terms of mobile payment penetration rate and transaction scale.However,the mobile payment industry in the first⁃mover countries,which are the pioneers in this field,has not developed satisfactorily.This study constructed an analysis framework of technology window,demand window and policy window caused by the change of sectoral system of innovation,to explain how late⁃developing countries catch up with first⁃developing countries in the mobile payment industry.By exploring cases of Ken⁃ya,China and India,this work argues that during the development of mobile payment in⁃dustry in these three later⁃developing countries,the changes of knowledge and technology demand conditions,participant subjects and institutional environment have brought about technology window,demand window and policy window,providing a good prerequisite for the development of mobile payment industry.Meanwhile,mobile payment enterprises in these countries have made positive strategies to deal with these windows of opportunity,so as to realize the mobile payment industry catching up with the first⁃mover countries.

关 键 词：移动支付 后发国家 产业赶超 机会窗口理论 

分 类 号：F831.2[经济管理—金融学]