数字经济对农业绿色发展的影响及其空间溢出效应  

The Influence of Digital Economy on the Green Development of Agriculture and its Spatial Spillover Effects

作　　者：孔令英[1] 李宁 Kong Lingying;Li Ning(School of Economy and Management,Shihezi University,Shihezi,832000,China)

机构地区：[1]石河子大学经济与管理学院,新疆石河子832000

出　　处：《新疆农垦经济》2025年第1期39-49,共11页Xinjiang State Farms Economy

基　　金：国家社科基金项目(项目编号:20BJY172)。

摘　　要：文章利用2011—2021年省际面板数据,通过双向固定效应模型与空间杜宾模型探究数字经济对农业绿色发展的影响及其空间溢出效应,除此之外,还采用时空地理加权模型进一步分析了数字经济对农业绿色发展影响的时空异质性。结果表明:(1)数字经济发展水平与农业绿色发展水平整体呈上升趋势,数字经济与农业绿色发展显著正相关;(2)空间计量模型结果表明,数字经济对农业绿色发展具有显著正向的直接效应、间接效应和总体效应,即数字经济发展也会引起周边地区农业绿色发展水平提高;(3)通过进一步分析发现,数字经济对农业绿色发展的影响具有明显的时空异质性。据此,提出要重视区域的均衡与协调发展,科学合理地优化数字经济的空间布局的建议。This paper explores the impact of digital economy on agricultural green development and its spatial spillover effect by us⁃ing the provincial panel data from 2011 to 2021,through the two-way fixed-effect model and the spatial Durbin model,and further analyzes the spatiotemporal heterogeneity of the digital economy on agricultural green development by using the spatio-temporal geographic weighting model.The results show that the development level of digital economy and the level of green development of agriculture show an overall upward trend,and the digital economy is significantly positively correlated with the green development of agriculture.The results of the spatial econometric model show that the digital economy has significant positive direct,indirect and overall effects on the green development of agriculture,that is,the development of the digital economy also leads to the im⁃provement of the level of agricultural green development in the surrounding areas.Further analysis shows that the impact of digital economy on agricultural green development has obvious spatiotemporal heterogeneity.Based on this,it is suggested to attach impor⁃tance to regional balance and coordinated development,and scientifically and reasonably optimize the spatial layout of the digital economy.

关 键 词：数字经济 农业绿色发展 空间溢出效应 

分 类 号：F49[经济管理—产业经济] F323.22