干旱区耕地资源扩张与经济增长——以新疆为例  

Expansion of Cultivated Land Resources and Economic Growth in Arid Region——A Case Study of Xinjiang

作　　者：王福红 Wang Fuhong(School of Agriculture and Forestry Economics and Management,Lanzhou University of Finance and Economics,Lanzhou 730101)

机构地区：[1]兰州财经大学农林经济管理学院,甘肃兰州730101

出　　处：《新疆农垦经济》2025年第1期50-59,共10页Xinjiang State Farms Economy

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目(项目编号:24XTJ003);新疆西甜瓜产业技术体系项目(项目编号:XJARS-06);新疆维吾尔自治区高校基本科研业务费科研项目(项目编号:XEDU2024J045);2024年新疆维吾尔自治区研究生教育创新计划(项目编号:XJ2024G118)。

摘　　要：资源丰度与经济增长之间的关系是发展经济学关注的重要问题,破解“资源诅咒”也是资源富集地区实现可持续发展的必然选择。新疆耕地资源快速扩张与经济发展不匹配现象非常显著。文章基于“资源诅咒”理论假说,利用2004—2020年新疆14个地州市的面板数据构建双固定效应模型,实证检验了耕地资源与经济增长之间的关系,考察了二者之间的传导机制。结果显示,新疆地区耕地资源丰度与人均GDP增长率之间存在显著的负相关关系,新疆耕地资源开发利用过程中存在“资源诅咒”效应。耕地资源丰裕度通过水资源利用、政策支持、物质资本等途径影响区域经济增长,其影响程度分别为39.23%、38.2%和22.57%。基于此,提出通过发展节水农业,促进区域产业转型升级,优化区域有效投资,提升投资效益等举措促进区域经济和耕地利用的良性发展。The correlation between economic growth and resource richness is a significant topic in the science of Development Eco⁃nomics,and resource-rich regions have to break the so-called“resource curse”in order to achieve sustainable development.The mismatch between the rapid expansion of cultivated land resources and economic development in Xinjiang is remarkable.In view of the“resource curse”theory,this paper builds a dual fixed effect model using panel data from 14 Xinjiang prefectures and cities between 2004 and 2020 in order to test the relationship between cultivated land resources and economic growth empirically and ex⁃plore the mechanism of transmission between them.The results indicate a“resource curse”effect in the development and use of Xinjiang's cultivated land resources.Meanwhile,there is a significant negative correlation between the provincial per capita GDP growth rate and the abundance of its cultivated land resources.The abundance of cultivated land resources impacts regional eco⁃nomic growth through water resource utilization,policy support,material capital,and other channels,with degrees of impact of 39.23%,38.2%,and 22.57%,respectively.Based on this,measures such as developing water-saving agriculture,promoting region⁃al industrial transformation and upgrading,optimizing effective investment in the region,and improving investment efficiency are proposed to promote the healthy development of regional economy and cultivated utilization.

关 键 词：耕地资源 经济增长 诅咒效应 干旱区 新疆 

分 类 号：F323.211[经济管理—产业经济] F124.1