淮海经济区物流业与制造业耦合协同测度及影响因素分析  

Analysis of the measurement and influencing factors of coupling synergy between the logistics industry and the manufacturing industry in the Huaihai Economic Zone

作　　者：张利梅 褚超 李阳[1] ZHANG Limei;CHU Chao;LI Yang(School of Business Administration,Xuzhou Vocational College of Industrial Technology,Xuzhou 221116,China;School of Mechanical Engineering,Xuzhou Vocational College of Industrial Technology,Xuzhou 221116,China)

机构地区：[1]徐州工业职业技术学院工商管理学院,江苏徐州221116 [2]徐州工业职业技术学院机械工程学院,江苏徐州221116

出　　处：《科技管理学报》2024年第6期72-83,共12页Journal of Science and Technology Management

基　　金：江苏高校哲学社会科学研究一般项目(2024SJYB0866)。

摘　　要：产业融合发展是当前优化产业布局,促进经济发展的重要战略性手段。我国高度重视物流业与制造业的联动与融合发展。文章基于产业关联与产业协同理论,使用淮海经济区10个地级市2010—2022年的面板数据,运用熵值法与耦合协同模型,测算物流业与制造业协同发展水平及其演化特性,通过灰色关联法和固定效应模型,进一步探究物流业与制造业协同发展的关键影响因素。研究结果显示,淮海经济区耦合协同度由2010年略微失调上升至2022年的勉强协调,整体呈现上升趋势。进一步研究影响耦合协同发展的驱动因素发现,货物周转率、制造业就业人数增长率、工业企业产品销售收入、工业总产值增长率等指标与耦合协同度高水平关联。科技发展、公共预算与产业结构因素对物流业与制造业的耦合协同度具有显著的正向影响。研究结论不仅深化了对物流业与制造业协同发展的理论认识,也为政策制定提供了科学依据,从而有效促进物流业与制造业深度融合,推动经济持续高质量发展。The integrated development of industries has emerged as a cornerstone strategic approach in the current economic landscape,playing a pivotal role in optimizing industrial layouts and fostering sustainable economic growth.China places a high degree of emphasis on fostering interconnected and integrated development between the logistics industry and the manufacturing sector,recognizing its significant value and potential.The cornerstone theoretical foundation of the article lies in the principles of industrial linkage and industrial synergy,which provide a robust underpinning for the subsequent analysis.These principles serve as a solid bedrock for exploring and understanding the intricate interactions and cooperative dynamics between different industries.The article focuses intently on ten prefecture-level cities within the Huaihai Economic Zone,conducting an in-depth examination of the extensive panel data spanning from 2010 to 2022 in these regions.The objective is to uncover the underlying patterns and inherent laws governing the synergistic development between the logistics industry and the manufacturing sector,offering insights into their intricate interplay and mutual reinforcement over time.During the data analysis process,the article ingeniously employs two advanced methodologies:the entropy method and the coupling synergy model.These approaches are utilized in a scientific and objective manner to conduct a quantitative assessment of the synergistic development between the logistics industry and the manufacturing sector.By leveraging these techniques,the article aims to provide a precise and measurable understanding of the interplay and mutual reinforcement between the two industries.Utilizing the aforementioned methodologies,the article not only accurately measures the level of synergistic development between the logistics industry and the manufacturing sector but also conducts an in-depth analysis of its evolutionary characteristics.This analysis reveals the dynamic trends and shifts in the synergistic d

关 键 词：物流业 制造业 产业融合 影响因素 

分 类 号：F252[经济管理—国民经济]