我国河湖长制政策演进与多维耦合特征研究——基于2008年以来政策文本的计量分析  

Policy evolution and multi-dimensional coupling characteristics in Chinese River and Lake Chief System--based on an econometric analysis of policy texts since 2008

作　　者：魏有兴 邬明君[1] WEI Youxing;WU Mingjun(School of Marxism,Hohai University,Nanjing Jiangsu 211100,China;Base of Hohai University,Research Center of Xi Jinping Thought on Socialism with Chinese Characteristics for a New Era,Nanjing Jiangsu 211100,China)

机构地区：[1]河海大学马克思主义学院,江苏南京211100 [2]江苏省习近平新时代中国特色社会主义思想研究中心河海大学基地,江苏南京211100

出　　处：《水利经济》2025年第1期69-77,共9页Journal of Economics of Water Resources

基　　金：江苏省习近平新时代中国特色社会主义思想研究中心后期项目(23ZXHQ027)。

摘　　要：河湖长制是由基层河湖治理探索逐渐演变为国家治理行为的制度创新,其政策演进离不开各级政府的引导。构建了“政策阶段政策工具—政策目标”三维分析框架,对我国2008年以来中央、国家部委和省级河湖长制131份政策文本进行了计量分析。结果表明:我国河湖长制的政策阶段经历了区域实践、全面推广、完善深化3个阶段,政策目标由侧重河湖水域空间监管转变为生态优先下的河湖综合治理,政策工具由命令控制型逐渐向市场激励型和自愿参与型倾斜,但仍以命令控制型为主导。政府在未来应推动河湖长制朝着“有能有效”演进,要优化完善政策工具达到多方协同参与,政策目标要从“治河流”到“治流域”,加快推进“河湖长制”转变为“河湖长治”。The River and Lake Chief System has gradually evolved from the exploration of grassroots river and lake governance to the institutional innovation of national governance behavior,and its policy evolution is inseparable from the policy guidance of governments at all levels.The paper built the three-dimensional analysis framework of“policy stage-policy tool-policy objective”,combed and summarized 131 policy texts of the central government,national ministries and commissions and provincial River and Lake Chief System in China since 2008.The results show River and Lake Chief System has gone through three stages:regional practice,comprehensive promotion,and improvement and deepening.The policy objective has shifted from focusing on the spatial supervision of rivers and lakes to comprehensive river and lake management with an emphasis on ecological priorities.The policy tools are gradually shifting from command-and-control to market incentives and voluntary participation,but remain predominantly command-and-control.In the future,the government should promote the transformation of the River and Lake Chief System to have an effective evolution,optimize and improve policy tools to achieve multi-party coordinated participation,and the policy goal should be changed from river governance to watershed governance,and accelerate the transformation of the“River and Lake Chief System”into“River and Lake Permanent Governance”.

关 键 词：河湖长制 政策演进 耦合特征 文本计量分析 

分 类 号：TV213[水利工程—水文学及水资源]