连片种植对农户撂荒行为的影响——基于“连片种植-纵向分工-农地撂荒”的分析线索  

The Effect of Contiguous Planting on Farmers’Abandonment Behavior--Based on the Analytical Clues of“Contiguous Planting-Vertical Division of Labor-Farmland Abandonment”

作　　者：庄健 罗必良 ZHUANG Jian;LUO Biliang

机构地区：[1]华南农业大学国家农业制度与发展研究院,广东广州510642

出　　处：《华中农业大学学报(社会科学版)》2025年第1期8-18,共11页Journal of Huazhong Agricultural University(Social Sciences Edition)

基　　金：国家社会科学基金重大项目“保障我国粮食和重要农产品稳定安全供给的路径与政策研究”(23&ZD121);国家自然科学基金青年项目“非农转移、代际转换与农地撂荒发生机理研究”(72203064);广东人文社科重点实验室“农业农村政策与改革创新实验室”重点项目。

摘　　要：农地撂荒及其治理是备受关注的重要议题。通过构建“连片种植-纵向分工-农地撂荒”的分析框架,重点考察连片种植对农户撂荒行为的影响及其作用机理。分析结果表明:参与连片种植对农户耕地撂荒行为具有显著的抑制效果,连片程度每提升1个单位,撂荒可能性将减少4.1%~4.6%。机理检验表明,连片种植所形成的服务规模化供给,能够将农户卷入生产环节的分工外包,从而减少农地撂荒。情景分析表明,在地块耕作坡度较大或者交通可达性较差的情境下,连片种植对农地撂荒的抑制效果较为有限。但如果政府实施了基本农田整治,无论是工程性建设还是权属性调整,都将显著增强连片种植对农地撂荒的抑制作用。此外,与纯务农家庭相比,连片种植对务工家庭的撂荒抑制效果更加明显。进一步的证据表明,连片种植的有效实施在很大程度上依赖于村庄的组织化程度。村庄的组织化程度越高,连片种植的实施效果越好。据此认为,“以连片种植推动区域作物布局专业化”是实现以服务规模经营治理农地撂荒的重要途径。Farmland abandonment and its management is an important issue that has garnered significant attention.This paper constructs an analytical framework of“Contiguous Planting-Vertical Division of Labor-Agricultural Land Abandonment”to examine the impact of contiguous planting on farmers’abandonment behavior and its underlying mechanisms.The analysis reveals that participation in contiguous planting significantly inhibits farmers’abandonment behavior;for each unit increase in the degree of contiguous planting,the likelihood of abandonment decreases by 4.1%to 4.6%.Mechanism test indicates that the service scale created by contiguous planting allows farmers to outsource their involvement in production processes,thereby reducing farmland abandonment.Scenario analysis shows that in situations where the slope of the land is steep or accessibility is poor,the inhibitory effect of contiguous planting on farmland abandonment is relatively limited.However,if the government implements basic farmland consolidation,whether through engineering construction or property rights adjustment,it will significantly enhance the inhibitory effect of contiguous planting on farmland abandonment.Furthermore,the effect of contiguous planting on reducing abandonment is more pronounced for migrant workers families compared to purely farming households.Additional evidence suggests that effective implementation of contiguous planting largely depends on the degree of village organization.The higher the degree of village organization,the better the implementation effect of contiguous planting.Therefore,the paper holds that promoting the specialization of regional crop layout through contiguous planting is an important approach to govern farmland abandonment through service-scale management.

关 键 词：农地撂荒 连片种植 纵向分工 外包服务 

分 类 号：F301.2[经济管理—产业经济]