发展新质生产力 建设现代化能源产业体系——“第十一届全国石油经济学术年会暨2025年油气市场形势研讨会”综述  

Developing new quality productivity forces and building a modernized energy industry system——Overview of the 11~(th)Annual National Petroleum Economic Research Conference and 2025 Oil and Gas Market Seminar

作　　者：徐金红 王立敏[1] 戚永颖[1] 黄佳音[1] By XU Jinhong;WANG Limin;QI Yongying;HUANG Jiayin(IPE Editorial Department)

机构地区：[1]国际石油经济编辑部

出　　处：《国际石油经济》2024年第12期14-26,52,共14页International Petroleum Economics

摘　　要：石油石化是国民经济的重要基石,也是加快培育和发展新质生产力的重要阵地。实现行业高质量发展必须强化创新驱动,促进以传统能源颠覆技术、新能源技术、数字化技术为代表的科技创新与产业创新深度融合,加快培育能源领域的新质生产力,这也是能源转型攻关破局的关键因素。全球经济格局和能源体系正在重塑,全球范围内新能源领域投资规模已超过传统油气领域,能源加速向绿色低碳转型势不可挡。随着中国国内能效水平持续提升、新能源规模化跃升发展以及多元驱动的能源供应体系加快形成,中国已成为新一轮能源革命的重要推动者。“三油一网”正探索构建新型能源体系,建设以清洁、低碳、安全、高效为主要特征的能源系统,加快能源结构可再生化步伐。中国油气增储上产前景可期,炼油企业正站在转型的关键路口,成品油消费拐点已经到来,化工品将成为石油消费的重要支撑。自2025年起国际LNG市场将由当前偏紧态势逐渐向平衡过渡,之后将转向宽松。Petroleum and petrochemical industry is an important cornerstone of the national economy,and a main position to accelerate the cultivation and development of new quality productivity forces.To realize the high-quality development of the industry,we must strengthen innovation-driven,promote the deep integration between scientific and technological innovation and industrial innovation,take the disruptive technology of the traditional energy,new energy technology,and digital technology as the representative,accelerate the cultivation of new quality productivity in the field of energy,and form a key factor in the energy transition breakthrough.The global economic pattern and energy system are being reshaped,the scale of investment in new energy fields has surpassed that of traditional oil and gas worldwide,and the acceleration of energy towards a green and low-carbon transition is unstoppable.With the continuous improvement of China's domestic energy efficiency level,the rapid development of new energy scales and the accelerated formation of a multi-driven energy supply system and China has become an important promoter of the new round of energy revolution.CNPC,SINOPEC,CNOOC,and PipeChina are constructing a new energy system with a clean,low-carbon,safe,and efficient characteristics and accelerating the pace of renewable energy structure.China's oil and gas reserves and production prospects are promising,refining enterprises are standing at the key junction of the transition,the inflection point of refined oil consumption has arrived,and chemicals will become an important support for oil consumption.From 2025,the international LNG market will expect to develop from the current tight situation to a balanced one,and then to a loose market.

关 键 词：新质生产力 能源体系 能源转型 绿色低碳转型 油气市场 

分 类 号：F407.22[经济管理—产业经济] F416.22