Power Prediction of Wind Farm Considering the Wake Effect and its Boundary Layer Compensation  

作　　者：Zao Tang Jia Liu Jielong Ni Jimiao Zhang Pingliang Zeng Pengzhe Ren Tong Su 

机构地区：[1]the Department of Automation,Hangzhou Dianzi University,Hangzhou 310038,China [2]the Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering,Rowan University,Glassboro 08028,USA [3]the Jiaxing Power Supply Company of State Grid Zhejiang Electric Power Company,Jiaxing 314000,China [4]the Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering,University of Connecticut,Storrs 06269,USA

出　　处：《Protection and Control of Modern Power Systems》2024年第6期19-29,共11页现代电力系统保护与控制(英文)

基　　金：supported by the Zhejiang Science and Technology Program(No.2023C01142);the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.52207085 and No.52407090);Zhejiang Provincial Natural Science Foundation of China(No.LY24E070006);China Postdoctoral Science Foundation(No.2024M750462).

摘　　要：With significant expansion in wind farm capacity,wake disturbances from upstream wind turbines have emerged as a detrimental factor,adversely affecting the generated power of downstream units.However,the conventional power prediction models usually neglect the wake effect between adjacent wind turbines.To bridge this gap,this paper proposes a novel power prediction model that considers the wake effect and its boundary layer compensation,to enable joint spatial and temporal wind power prediction for wind farms.Firstly,a two-dimensional convolutional neural network is adopted to extract the key features and reconstruct wind power prediction data.Secondly,utilizing historical data,a long short-term memory algorithm is employed to investigate the correlation between elemental characteristics and wind data.Subsequently,a 3D-Gaussian Frandsen wake model that accounts for the wake effect and boundary layer compensation in wind farms is developed to precisely calculate the spatial wind speed distributions.Consequently,these distributions allow the power outputs of wind turbines in wind farms to be estimated more accurately via the rotor equivalent wind speed.Finally,several case studies are conducted to validate the effectiveness of the proposed method.The results demonstrate that the suggested approach yields favorable outcomes in predicting both wind speed and wind power.

关 键 词：Wind farm wind power prediction wake effect 3D-Gaussian Frandsen model spatial-temporal distribution of wind speed. 

分 类 号：F83[经济管理—金融学]