丝绸之路经济带中国段省域旅游协同发展研究  

On Coordinated Development of Provincial Tourism in Chinese Section of the Silk Road Economic Belt

作　　者：杨秀平[1] 轩晚月 杨庚霞 YANG Xiuping;XUAN Wanyue;YANG Gengxia(School of Economy and Management,Lanzhou University of Technology,Lanzhou 730050,Gansu,China;School of Urban Construction and Management,Bingtuan Xingxin Vocational and Technical College,Tiemenguan 841007,Xinjiang,China;School of Finance and Business,Lanzhou Resources&Environment Voc-tech University,Lanzhou 730123,Gansu,China)

机构地区：[1]兰州理工大学经济管理学院,甘肃兰州730050 [2]新疆生产建设兵团兴新职业技术学院城市建设与管理学院,新疆铁门关841007 [3]兰州资源环境职业技术大学财经商贸学院,甘肃兰州730123

出　　处：《国土资源科技管理》2025年第1期93-105,共13页Scientific and Technological Management of Land and Resources

基　　金：教育部“春晖计划”合作科研项目(GS2019002);甘肃省哲学社会科学规划项目(2023YB015);甘肃省教育厅高校教师创新基金项目(2023A-230);兰州市社会科学规划项目(23-B33);甘肃省人文社会科学项目(24ZC03);2023年度学校高等教育研究重点项目(GJ2023A-8)。

摘　　要：丝绸之路经济带作为推动区域发展的经济大走廊,对促进沿线地区旅游协同发展有着重大意义。在旅游协同发展内涵基础上,将旅游协同发展要素分解为经济、服务、社会、生态和资源五个旅游子系统,借助协同度模型、泰尔指数分解法和Markov链法,对2006—2020年经济带各省域旅游协同发展水平进行测度分析,并利用Tobit回归研究其解释变量。结果表明:(1)旅游协同发展呈现西南高、西北低且陕西一家独大的空间分布格局,陕西旅游协同发展水平最高,四川、云南和重庆次之,宁夏和青海则一直处于失调状态,其他地区虽逐步进入协同状态但尚不稳定;(2)空间差异呈缩小态势,但西北区域内差异仍是影响经济带旅游协同发展的主要原因;(3)旅游协同发展的状态演变比较平稳,具有一定的空间依赖特征;(4)经济发展规模、旅游产业结构、市场化水平及生态环境对经济带旅游协同发展有显著正向影响,城镇化率则对其有显著负向影响。As a major economic corridor for regional development,the Silk Road Economic Belt was of great significance in promoting the coordinated development of tourism in the regions along its route.Based on the connotation of tourism coordinated development,this paper decomposed the factors of tourism coordinated development into five tourism subsystems:economy,service,society,ecology and resources.With the help of the synergy model,Theil index decomposition method and Markov chain method,the study measured and analyzed the level of tourism coordinated development in each province along the economic belt from 2006 to 2020.Furthermore,the explanatory variables were studied by using Tobit regression model.The results showed that:(1)Tourism coordinated development exhibited a spatial distribution pattern of“high in southwest,low in northwest,and dominated by Shaanxi,”with Shaanxi having the highest level,followed by Sichuan,Yunnan,and Chongqing.Ningxia and Qinghai have been in a state of imbalance,and other regions have gradually entered a state of coordination but were not stable.(2)The spatial difference showed a narrowing trend,but the difference in the northwest region was still the main reason affecting the coordinated development of tourism along the economic belt.(3)The evolution of tourism coordinated development states was relatively stable,showing a certain characteristics of spatial dependence.(4)Economic development scale,tourism industry structure,marketization level and ecological environment had a significant positive impact on the coordinated development of tourism in the economic belt,while urbanization rate had a significant negative impact.

关 键 词：丝绸之路经济带 区域旅游 旅游协同发展 

分 类 号：F590.1[经济管理—旅游管理]