预算绩效管理创新扩散的动态逻辑——面向中国省份的事件史分析  

The Dynamic Logic of Budget Performance Management Innovation Diffusion:An Event History Analysis Focusing on Chinese Provinces

作　　者：李佳鹏 王红梅[3] Li Jiapeng;Wang Hongmei(Public Administration Department at School of Law,Shantou University,Shantou 515063;School of Government,Central University of Finance and Economics,Beijing 100081)

机构地区：[1]汕头大学法学院公共管理系,汕头515063 [2]汕头大学地方政府发展研究所,汕头515063 [3]中央财经大学政府管理学院,北京100081

出　　处：《中国行政管理》2024年第12期80-92,共13页Chinese Public Administration

基　　金：国家社会科学基金一般项目“我国政府部门预算参与和管理绩效作用机理的模型建构与实证检验研究”(编号:20BZZ060);教育部人文社会科学青年项目“基于序参量识别的政府投资基金绩效评价指标体系研究”(编号:19YJC630005);汕头大学科研启动经费项目(编号:STF24022T);广东省人文社会科学重点研究基地——汕头大学地方政府发展研究所开放基金课题(编号:07423002)。

摘　　要：进入21世纪,中国各省份在预算绩效管理改革方面经历了事后绩效评价“首轮创新”和全过程预算绩效管理“次轮创新”。这种多轮次创新扩散是如何发生的?不同轮次创新扩散是否遵循相同的逻辑?本文采用事件史分析法,从动态视角考察了预算绩效管理“首轮创新”和“次轮创新”在省际间推广过程中的四重逻辑。结果显示,“首轮创新”扩散呈现出效率逻辑、压力逻辑、竞争逻辑和行动逻辑协同并进的特征,“次轮创新”扩散则展现为效率逻辑和行动逻辑的双重结合。这一结果表明,不同轮次的预算绩效管理创新扩散对应着差异化的逻辑。Since the beginning of the 21st century,various provinces in China have undergone two rounds of innovation in budget performance management reform,namely the “first-round innovation” of ex-post performance evaluation and the “second-round innovation” of the comprehensive process of budget performance management. How does this multi-round innovation diffusion occur? Do different rounds of innovation diffusion follow the same logic? This paper adopts event history analysis to examine the four tiers of the logic of the diffusion process between provinces for the “first-round innovation” and the “second-round innovation” in budget performance management from a dynamic perspective. The results show that the diffusion of the “first-round innovation” exhibits a synergistic combination of efficiency logic,pressure logic,competition logic,and action logic. On the other hand,the diffusion of the“ second-round innovation” demonstrates a parallel combination of efficiency logic and action logic. This indicates that the diffusion of budget performance management innovation in different rounds follows distinctive logics.

关 键 词：创新扩散 预算绩效管理 政策扩散 事件史分析 

分 类 号：D035[政治法律—政治学]