全球自贸协定网络结构变化与中国自贸区网络的构建  

Changes in the structure of the global free trade agreement network and the construction of China ’s free trade area network

作　　者：王金波[1,2] Wang Jinbo

机构地区：[1]中国社会科学院大学国际政治经济学院 [2]中国社会科学院亚太与全球战略研究院

出　　处：《全球化》2025年第1期52-61,133,134,共12页Globalization

基　　金：国家社科基金重大项目“RCEP对亚太区域价值链重构的影响机制及应对策略研究”(22&ZD178)的阶段性成果。

摘　　要：随着全球自贸协定数量的持续增加和协定规则的不断深化,全球自贸协定网络的网络密度、网络聚集度和聚团特征越来越强。同时,中国在全球自贸协定网络中的核心度和以度数中心性、特征向量中心性、流量中介中心性测度的网络中心性、结构重要性呈持续上升之势。然而,全球自贸协定数量的增加和协定深度的提升并未改变全球自贸协定网络“强者愈强”的幂率分布特征。与欧盟等重要核心节点相比,中国在全球自贸协定网络中的网络中心性和结构重要性还存在很大的差异、差距和提升空间。对此,本文认为,中国有必要在继续提高既有自贸协定网络的协定广度、协定深度和协定利用率的同时,进一步加大与网络中未签有自贸协定的节点国家(地区)签署自贸协定的力度,进一步提升新协定的新条款、新规则、数字规则的覆盖范围和深度,以更大范围、更高标准的自贸协定网络进一步提升中国在全球自贸协定、数字贸易协定网络中的网络中心性、结构重要性、规则制定能力和制度性话语权。With the continuous increase in the number of global free trade agreements and the deepening of agreement rules, the network density, network aggregation and agglomeration characteristics of the global free trade agreement network are getting stronger. At the same time, China ’s centrality in the global free trade agreement network is measured by degree centrality, feature vector centrality, and traffic intermediary centrality, and the centrality and structural importance of the network continue to rise. However, the increase in the number of global free trade agreement network and the increase in the depth of agreements have not changed the power distribution characteristics of the global free trade agreement network. Compared with important core nodes such as the European Union, there are still big differences, gaps and room for improvement in China ’s network centrality and structural importance in the global free trade agreement network. In this regard, this paper argues that it is necessary for China to further increase the signing of global free trade agreement network with node countries (regions) that have not signed global free trade agreement network in the network, and further improve the coverage and depth of new provisions, new rules and digital rules of the new global free trade agreement network, while continuing to improve the breadth, depth and utilization rate of the existing global free trade agreement network network, and with a wider range and higher standards of free trade agreement network, China will further enhance its network centrality, structural importance, rule-making capacity and institutional voice in the global free trade agreement and digital trade agreement network.

关 键 词：自贸区网络 复杂网络分析 网络中心性 结构重要性 

分 类 号：F744[经济管理—国际贸易] F752[经济管理—产业经济]