中国城市空间经济增长动力多维分解及演变态势分析  

Multi-Dinensional Decomposition and Evolution Trend Analysis of Urban Spatial Economic Growth in China

作　　者：曹子雯 王心培 CAO Ziwen;WANG Xinpei

机构地区：[1]河南师范大学商学院,河南新乡453007 [2]青岛科技大学经济与管理学院,山东青岛266061

出　　处：《城市发展研究》2025年第1期66-73,共8页Urban Development Studies

基　　金：河南省哲学社会科学规划项目“组合创新网络结构优化驱动都市圈协同发展效益提升的机理与对策研究”(2024CJJ098);河南省高等学校重点科研项目“网络结构优化驱动郑州都市圈协同发展效益提升的机理与对策研究”(25A790003);山东省自然科学基金青年项目“绿色财政金融协同赋能经济绿色转型研究”(ZR2024QG241)。

摘　　要：释放空间增长潜力对于增强我国经济内生增长动力、构建更加稳固的经济体系具有至关重要的作用。以城市经济高质量发展为评估指标,基于时变分层动态因子模型提取国家基础赋能、城市集群效益和城市异质动力三维空间增长动力,并进一步分析其时空演变态势,以深入揭示其内在逻辑与空间布局规律。研究发现:(1)尽管国家层级动力因子走势有所下降,但各城市通过有效整合与利用这一动力因子成功实现国家基础赋能水平的逐年攀升,国家基础赋能在空间上呈现总体更加协调、西北-东南方向略加集聚的分布态势。(2)多数城市所获取的城市集群效益均展现增长态势,且其空间分布呈现扩张趋势。相比国家基础赋能,城市集群效益的增长势头有所减弱。(3)城市异质动力的时空分布变化相对较小,或可作为提高经济稳定性的关键入手点。Spatial growth momentum plays a crucial role in enhancing the endogenous growth drivers of China's economy and building a more stable and resilient economic system.This paper takes the high-quality development of urban economy as the evaluation index,extracts the three-dimensional spatial growth momentum of national foundation empowerment,urban cluster benefits and urban heterogeneous momentum based on the time-varying hierarchical dynamic factor model,and further analyzes their spatial-temporal evolution,so as to reveal the internal logic and spatial layout law of location dynamics.The findings are as follows:(1)Although the trend of national level driving factor has declined in recent years,cities have successfully achieved the national foundation momentum level rising by effectively integrating and utilizing this driving factor.The spatial distribution of national foundation empowerment demonstrates an overall more coordinated pattern,with a slight concentration along the northwest-southeast direction.(2)The urban cluster benefits of most cities show an increasing trend,and their spatial distribution has shown an expanding trend in recent years.Compared with national foundation empowerment,the growth rate of urban cluster benefits is relatively low.(3)The heterogeneous momentum of cities are relatively stable and may serve as a key starting point for improving economic stability.

关 键 词：国家基础赋能 城市集群效益 城市异质动力 时变分层动态因子模型 

分 类 号：F129.9[经济管理—世界经济]