“一带一路”倡议下中国OFDI对非洲债务的影响  

On the Impact of China's OFDI on African Debt under the Belt and Road Initiative

作　　者：刘爱兰[1] 苏媛媛 LIU Ai-lan;SU Yuan-yuan(Zhejiang Normal University,Jinhua,Zhejiang,321000,China)

机构地区：[1]浙江师范大学,浙江金华321000

出　　处：《武汉商学院学报》2024年第6期33-42,共10页Journal of Wuhan Business University

基　　金：国家社科基金青年项目《非正规经济视角下非洲债务可持性与中国对策研究》(项目编号:19CJL051)。

摘　　要：“一带一路”倡议提出,中国对非洲国家直接投资增长迅速,非洲国家社会经济得以快速发展,但其债务问题阻碍了地区高质量发展。研究基于与中国签订“一带一路”倡议合作文件的42个非洲国家2013—2022年面板数据,分析了中国对非OFDI对非洲国家债务负担的影响。研究发现,中国对非OFDI显著减小非洲国家债务负担,但对发展水平、债务风险水平和双边投资协定签订情况不同的样本国家产生的影响具有异质性。非洲国家就业水平是影响中国对非OFDI减债效应的重要因素。根据以上研究结论,文章提出中国应继续加大对非洲各国的直接投资力度,持续推进“一带一路”倡议,帮助非洲国家建立自我偿债能力的政策建议。Following the proposal of the Belt and Road Initiative(BRI),China's direct investment in African countries has grown rapidly,contributing to their socio-economic development.However,debt issues in these countries have hindered their high-quality regional development.Using panel data from 2013 to 2022,this study analyzes the impact of China's outward foreign direct investment(OFDI)in Africa on the debt burden of 42 African countries that have signed cooperation agreements under BRI with China.The findings reveal that China's OFDI in Africa significantly reduces the debt burden of African countries,but the effect varies across sample countries with different levels of development,debt risk,and the status of bilateral investment agreements.The employment level in African countries is a crucial factor influencing the debt-reducing effects of China's OFDI.Based on these findings,the paper proposes policy recommendations for China to continue increasing its direct investment in African countries,further promote the BRI,and help African countries build their self-debt repayment capabilities.

关 键 词：“一带一路” OFDI 债务陷阱 

分 类 号：F125[经济管理—世界经济] F814