低估的自我——中等收入群体收入波动与主观阶层认同研究  

Underestimated Self——Research on Income Fluctuations of Middle-Income Group and Their Subjective Social Class Identification

作　　者：陈涛峰 杨希雷 CHEN Tao-feng;YANG Xi-lei(School of Economics,Nankai University,Tianjin 300071;School of Economics,Shandong Women's University,Jinan 250300,China)

机构地区：[1]南开大学经济学院,天津300071 [2]山东女子学院经济学院,山东济南250300

出　　处：《山西财经大学学报》2025年第1期1-15,共15页Journal of Shanxi University of Finance and Economics

基　　金：国家社会科学基金重大项目(19ZDA052)。

摘　　要：中等收入群体作为社会的中坚力量,当其主观认同自身阶层时,能更有效地促进社会的经济发展与稳定。基于2010—2020年CFPS数据研究发现,我国中等收入群体存在明显的低位阶层认同现象,并且收入波动是导致这一现象产生的重要因素。机制检验发现,收入波动通过改变中等收入群体对未来的预期、消费结构和对代际传递的担忧,影响其主观阶层认同感。调节效应分析显示,是否连续处于中等收入群体和家庭资产的数量是重要的调节变量。As a pivotal force in society,the middle-income group can more effectively promote economic development and social stability when they subjectively identify with their social class.Based on CFPS data from 2010 to 2020,this article found that there was a significant phenomenon of lower-class identification among the middle-income group in China,and income fluctuations was an important factor contributing to this phenomenon.Mechanism analysis revealed that income fluctuations influenced subjective social class identification by altering future expectations,consumption structure,and concerns about inter-generational transmission.Moderating effects analysis showed that continuous membership in the middle-income group and the amount of household assets were important moderating variables.

关 键 词：中等收入群体 收入波动 主观阶层认同 认同下移偏差 低位认同 未来预期 消费结构 代际传递 

分 类 号：F036[经济管理—政治经济学]