山东省绿色技术创新与经济高质量发展的时空耦合与影响因素分析  

SPATIONTEMPORAL COUPLING AND INFLUENCING FACTORS ANALYSIS OF GREEN TECHNOLOGY INNOVATION AND HIGH-QUALITY ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT IN SHANDONG PROVINCE

作　　者：潘杨 李俊莉[1] Pan Yang;Li Junli(School of Geography and Tourism,Qufu Normal University 276826,Rizhao,Shandong,China)

机构地区：[1]曲阜师范大学地理与旅游学院,山东日照276826

出　　处：《山东师范大学学报(自然科学版)》2024年第4期339-349,共11页Journal of Shandong Normal University(Natural Science Edition)

基　　金：山东省自然科学基金资助项目(ZR2021MD076)。

摘　　要：绿色技术创新和经济高质量耦合发展为实现经济增长与生态文明提供强有力支撑。基于2008-2022年山东省16地市面板数据,从投入、产出两方面和经济运行、协调发展、生态文明、对外开放、民生福祉五个维度分别构建绿色技术创新和经济高质量发展的评价指标体系,采用耦合协调度模型和空间杜宾模型分析两系统的时空耦合及其影响因素。结果显示,山东省绿色技术创新水平、经济高质量发展水平均呈波动递增趋势,二者的耦合协调度从2008年的0.3697上升到2022年的0.5797;协调度区域差异明显,呈现出以青岛市和济南市为中心向四周逐渐递减的空间格局;增加研发投入强度、调整产业结构、提升城市化水平、增强政府调控能力、扩大对外开放程度、降低化石能源消费比重是提高耦合水平的推动因素;提出加快绿色转型、优化能源结构等对策建议,为山东省政府制定发展规划和战略提供参考。The coupling of green technology innovation and high-quality economic development provides strong support for achieving economic growth and ecological civilization.Based on panel data from 16 cities in Shandong Province from 2008 to 2022,an evaluation index system for green technology innovation and high-quality economic development is constructed from the perspectives of input and output,as well as five dimensions of economic operation,coordinated development,ecological civilization,openness up to the outside world,and people′s well-being.The coupling coordination degree model and spatial Durbin model are used to analyze the spatiotemporal coupling between the influencing factors and the two systems.The results show that the levels of green technology innovation and high-quality economic development in Shandong Province have both exhibited a fluctuating up ward trend.The coupling coordination degree between the two increased from 0.3697 in 2008 to 0.5797 in 2022.There are significant regional differences in coordination,showing a spatial pattern that gradually decreases from Qingdao and Jinan as the center to the surrounding areas key factors driving the improvement of the coupling level include increasing R&D investment intensity,adjusting industrial structure,improving urbanization level,enhancing government regulation capacity,expanding openness up to the outside world,and reducing the proportion of fossil energy consumption are driving factors for improving coupling level.Finally,suggestions such as accelerating green transformation and optimizing energy structure are proposed,providing references for the Shandong People′s Govenment of Shandong Province to formulate development plans and strategies.

关 键 词：绿色技术创新 高质量发展 耦合协调度 空间杜宾模型 山东省 区域经济发展 

分 类 号：F124[经济管理—世界经济]