数字经济与工业产业链现代化时空耦合和驱动因素分析  

Analysis of Spatial-temporal Coupling of Digital Economy and Industrial Chain Modernization and the Driving Factors

作　　者：余姗 常东杰 张哲 YU Shan;CHANG Dong-jie;ZHANG Zhe(School of Economics,Xi’an University of Finance and Economics,Xi’an,Shaanxi 710100;Collaborative Innovation Research Center of Western Energy Economy and Regional Development,Xi’an University of Finance and Economics,Xi’an,Shaanxi 710100)

机构地区：[1]西安财经大学经济学院,陕西西安710100 [2]西安财经大学西部能源经济与区域发展协同创新研究中心,陕西西安710100

出　　处：《供应链管理》2025年第2期38-52,共15页SUPPLY CHAIN MANAGEMENT

基　　金：2024年陕西省科技厅软科学研究项目“数字技术赋能陕西传统制造业转型升级路径与对策研究”(2024ZC-YBXM-146)。

摘　　要：文章基于数字经济和工业产业链现代化综合评价指标体系,选取2011—2022年全国31个省份的相关数据,运用耦合协调模型、Dagum基尼系数和空间杜宾模型等方法分析数字经济和工业产业链现代化二者之间的耦合协调度的时空演化、差异特征及驱动因素。研究表明:①数字经济和工业产业链现代化两者耦合协调水平逐年增强,存在明显的空间分异特征,形成了“东高西低”“南高北低”的分布格局。②两者耦合协调发展水平的地区内差异呈现缩小的趋势,耦合协调度的差距主要来源于区域间,其次是超变密度,区域内最小。③经济发展水平、产业结构、政府参与度、城镇化水平和科学技术水平对提升数字经济和工业产业链现代化的耦合性具有正向促进作用,是驱动二者耦合协调的重要因素。Based on the comprehensive evaluation index system of digital economy and industrial chain modernization,this paper selects the relevant data of 31 provinces and cities in China from 2011 to 2022,and uses the coupling coordination model,Dagum Gini coefficient and spatial Durbin model to analyze the spatial and temporal evolution,difference characteristics and driving factors of the coupling coordination degree between digital economy and industrial chain modernization.The research shows that:①The coupling and coordination level of digital economy and industrial chain modernization has been increasing year by year,and there are obvious spatial differentiation characteristics,forming the distribution pattern of“high in the east and low in the west”and“high in the south and low in the north”.②The intra-regional differences in the level of coupling and coordinated development between the two show a narrowing trend.The gap in the degree of coupling and coordination mainly comes from the inter-regional,followed by the super-variable density,and the smallest in the region.③The level of economic development,industrial structure,government participation,urbanization level,and scientific and technological level have a positive role in promoting the coupling of digital economy and industrial chain modernization,and are important factors driving the coupling and coordination of the two.

关 键 词：数字经济 工业产业链现代化 时空耦合 驱动因素 

分 类 号：F127[经济管理—世界经济] F49