香溪河流域水环境磷风险预报预警平台  

A Forecasting and Early Warning Platform for Phosphorus Risk of Water Environment in Xiangxi River Basin

作　　者：张熔轩 张万顺[1,2,3] 刘馨 彭虹[4] 陈勇[5] 陈刚[1] 李翱 ZHANG Rong-xuan;ZHANG Wan-shun;LIU Xin;PENG Hong;CHEN Yong;CHEN Gang;LI Ao(School of Resource and Environmental Sciences,Wuhan University,Wuhan 430079,China;State Key Laboratory of Water Resources and Hydropower Engineering Science,Wuhan University,Wuhan 430072,China;China Institute of Development Strategy and Planning,Wuhan University,Wuhan 430079,China;School of Water Resources and Hydropower Engineering,Wuhan University,Wuhan 430072,China;China Railway Siyuan Survey and Design Group Co.,Ltd.,Wuhan 430063,China)

机构地区：[1]武汉大学资源与环境科学学院,武汉430079 [2]武汉大学水资源与水电工程科学国家重点实验室,武汉430072 [3]武汉大学中国发展战略与规划研究院,武汉430079 [4]武汉大学水利水电学院,武汉430072 [5]中铁第四勘察设计院集团有限公司,武汉430063

出　　处：《长江科学院院报》2025年第2期172-178,193,共8页Journal of Changjiang River Scientific Research Institute

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(41877531);水环境综合治理智慧管控平台的建设研究项目(2022010444)。

摘　　要：水环境质量预报预警是提升水污染防治现代化水平的重要支撑。提出了香溪河流域水环境磷风险平台技术体系,建立了香溪河流域水环境磷风险预报预警平台。该平台具备自动化收集多源异构的气象、水文、水质监测和污染源排放等底座数据并融合处理的功能,可为流域模型的边界条件和过程条件提供支撑,进一步对降雨过程、水文变化、总磷浓度和水环境风险提供预测和评价结果,并对2016年和2020年进行磷风险预报预警应用,为香溪河提升流域智慧化管理水平和推进磷风险管控提供技术支撑。Forecasting and early warning of water quality are essential for advancing the modernization of water pollution prevention.In this study,we developed a technical framework for a phosphorus risk assessment platform and implemented a water environment platform for phosphorus risk forecasting and early warning.The platform automatically collects and integrates multi-source heterogeneous foundational data,including meteorological,hydrological,water quality monitoring,and pollution source discharge data,and generates boundary and process conditions for an air-land-water coupled model.The platform forecasts rainfall,hydrology,and total phosphorus concentrations,assesses phosphorus-related risks,and issues early warnings.The platform was applied to the Xiangxi River basin in 2016 and 2020,and has provided technical support for enhancing intelligent basin management and mitigating phosphorus risks in the Xiangxi River basin.

关 键 词：水环境 磷风险管控 预报预警平台 业务化应用 香溪河流域 

分 类 号：X522[环境科学与工程—环境工程]