电子商务发展对物流业碳排放的影响研究——基于省域面板数据的空间计量分析  

Research on the Impact of E-commerce Development on Carbon Emissions in the Logistics Industry: A Spatial Econometric Analysis Based on Provincial Panel Data

作　　者：丁刚 黄淑容 DING Gang;HUANG Shurong(School of Economics and Management,Fuzhou University,Fuzhou 350108,Fujian,China)

机构地区：[1]福州大学经济与管理学院,福建福州350108

出　　处：《中国石油大学学报(社会科学版)》2025年第1期11-18,共8页Journal of China University of Petroleum (Edition of Social Sciences)

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目(22BGL221)。

摘　　要：基于2013—2021年中国省域面板数据探讨电子商务发展对物流业碳排放的影响效应,采用全局熵值法测度中国省域电子商务发展水平,利用空间杜宾模型实证分析电子商务发展对物流业碳排放影响效应。研究结果表明:近年来中国省域电子商务发展水平逐渐提升并存在明显的空间集聚效应,总体上呈现出“东强西弱”的发展特征;电子商务发展与物流业碳排放之间呈“倒U”型非线性相关关系,且当前处于“倒U”型曲线的前半部分;电子商务发展在对本省域物流业碳排放产生影响的同时,对邻近地区亦会产生正向溢出效应。This study explores the impact of e-commerce development on carbon emissions in the logistics industry,based on panel data from Chinese provinces spanning 2013 to 2021.Using the global entropy method,the study measures the level of e-commerce develop-ment across provinces and employs a spatial Durbin model to analyze its effects on carbon emissions in the logistics sector.The findings reveal that e-commerce development in China has steadily increased in recent years,exhibiting significant spatial clustering with a dis-tinct"strong in the east,weak in the west"pattern.Moreover,there is an inverted U-shaped nonlinear relationship between e-com-merce development and carbon emissions in the logistics industry,with the current stage positioned in the ascending phase of the curve.Additionally,while e-commerce development directly affects carbon emissions in the logistics industry within its own province,it also exerts positive spillover effects on neighboring regions.

关 键 词：电子商务 物流业 碳排放 空间杜宾模型 

分 类 号：F724.6[经济管理—产业经济] X32[环境科学与工程—环境工程] F490