基于AHP-灰色关联法的水利工程风险管控能力提升研究  

Research on the improvement of risk management and control ability of water conservancy projects based on AHP-grey correlation method

作　　者：徐旭东 黄烈涛 刘尚 吉嘉豪 王伟 XU Xudong;HUANG Lietao;LIU Shang;JI Jiahao;WANG Wei(Project Management Branch of The Eastern Route of South-to-North Water Diversion Jiangsu Water Resource Co.,Ltd.,Nanjing 210041,China)

机构地区：[1]南水北调东线江苏水源有限责任公司项目管理分公司,江苏南京210041

出　　处：《江苏水利》2025年第2期55-60,共6页Jiangsu Water Resources

摘　　要：为进一步降低水利工程施工企业危险性较大的单项工程安全风险,提升安全风险管控能力。选取部分危险性较大的单项工程作为研究对象,运用层次分析法进行研究分析,并建立基于“六项机制”的灰色关联模型确定提升策略关联度。结果表明,基坑支护及降水工程、围堰工程、水上作业工程是影响水利工程施工企业危险性较大的单项工程安全风险管控的主要因素,严格落实管理措施和工程技术措施是提升安全风险管控能力的有效途径。In order to further reduce the safety risk of a single project with greater risk in water conservancy engineering construction enterprises,and improve the safety risk management and control ability.In this paper,some single projects with high risk are selected as the research objects,and the analytic hierarchy process is used to conduct research and analysis,and a grey correlation model based on the“six mechanisms”is established to determine the relevance of the promotion strategy.The results show that foundation pit support and dewatering engineering,cofferdam engineering and water operation engineering are the main factors affecting the safety risk control of individual projects with greater risk in water conservancy engineering construction enterprises,and the strict implementation of management measures and engineering technical measures is an effective way to improve the safety risk management and control ability.

关 键 词：层次分析法 灰色关联模型 六项机制 安全风险管控 

分 类 号：X947[环境科学与工程—安全科学]