大国竞争背景下国际气候科研合作格局演化及应对研究  

Responses and Countermeasures of International Scientific ollaboration in Climate Change to Great-Power Competition

作　　者：邱均平 崔欣怡 余云龙 QIU Junping;CUI Xinyi;YU Yunlong(Chinese Academy of Science and Education Evaluation,Hangzhou Dianzi University,Hangzhou 310018,China;Academy of Data Science and Informetrics,Hangzhou Dianzi University,Hangzhou 310018,China)

机构地区：[1]杭州电子科技大学中国科教评价研究院,浙江杭州310018 [2]杭州电子科技大学数据科学与信息计量研究院,浙江杭州310018

出　　处：《科学与管理》2025年第1期48-55,共8页Science and Management

基　　金：国家社会科学基金重大项目(19ZDA348);浙江省省属高校基本科研业务费-青年教师科研创新专项(一般项目)(KYS268224002)。

摘　　要：气候变化迫切需要国际社会尤其是大国间的紧密合作,然而大国战略竞争日益复杂,国际气候科技合作壁垒高筑。通过对气候变化文献大数据进行挖掘,以揭示全球双边、多边国际气候科研合作态势及其对中美科技竞争的响应,探讨深化气候科研合作的策略。研究发现,当前背景下双边国际合作显著减少,国际气候科研合作呈现负增长趋势。中美双边国际合作占中国双边国际合作的比重减幅最大,而多边国际合作受大国竞争影响较小,潜在的地缘政治集团化趋势对中国国际气候科研合作影响较小。虽然中美科技竞争已经显著影响中美双边科研合作,但美国科学界仍然保持着与中国合作的强烈愿望,中美气候科研合作将在困难中前行。当前国际形势下,中国应在加强国际科技合作的顶层设计、均衡合作布局、拓展多边合作机制、强化与周边国家合作等方面采取有力措施,深化气候科研合作和应对美国科技封锁。Closed international cooperation is urgently needed to tackle climate change,however,the state-of-the-art of international research collaboration(IRC)in climate change under the great-power competition remain unclear.The pattern and trend of IRC in climate change response to Sino-US science and technology competition are explored,and some countermeasures will be suggested to deepening the Chinese IRC of this field.The results show that there is negative increasing in IRC of climate change,because a significant decreasing trend occur in the bilateral IRC.There is a largest negative growth for the bilateral IRC between USA and China in Chinese IRC publications.While the effect of the political tension on the multilateral IRC is limited.The potential trend of bloc confrontation may have little impact on the Chinese IRC.Although Sino-US science and technology competition significantly affect the bilateral IRC between China and USA,the American scientific community still has a strong desire to cooperate with Chinese scientists.Currently,the China-US IRC will continue in the difficulties.To deepen the IRC and response to US arbitrary tech blockade,some measures including strengthening top-level design,balancing the distribution of IRC,expending the multilateral IRC mechanisms,deepening the cooperation with neighboring research entities should be taken.

关 键 词：科学合作 逆全球化 文献计量 网络分析 科研管理 

分 类 号：G322[文化科学] P467[天文地球—大气科学及气象学]