一路狂飙还是后继乏力:对越南经济的观察和思考  

Soaring All the Way or Lacking in Momentum:Observations and Reflections on Vietnamese Economy

作　　者：邵建平[1] 徐泓 SHAO Jian-ping;XU Hong(Southeast Asia Study Center of Honghe University,Mengzi 661199,Yunnan,China;School of South Asian and Southeast Asian Languages and Cultures,Yunnan Minzu University,Kunming 650000,Yunan,China)

机构地区：[1]红河学院东南亚研究中心,云南蒙自661199 [2]云南民族大学南亚东南亚语言文化学院,云南昆明650000

出　　处：《红河学院学报》2025年第1期10-18,共9页Journal of Honghe University

基　　金：“兴滇英才支持计划”项目;国家社会科学基金中国历史研究院重大历史问题研究专项2023年度重大招标项目:东南亚现代国家发展历史(23VLS026);2023年红河州科学技术协会提升科技社团决策咨询能力服务创新发展项目:高质量推进红河州沿边开放示范区建设的方略和对策研究阶段性成果。

摘　　要：近年来,越南积极承接国际产业转移,调整相关政策,推动制造业和外贸蓬勃发展,实现经济稳定增长。然而,越南经济的发展得益于外部因素催动,而非越南经济自身的内驱力。越南经济繁荣的背后存在结构性缺陷。总体而言,中越两国在产业链、价值链方面互补性大于竞争性,“越南制造”不可能取代“中国制造”。对此,中国和越南要深入挖掘产业链的互补性,打造安全的跨国产业链,深化产业链合作,推动“一带一路”倡议与“两廊一圈”建设实现高质量对接。In recent years,Vietnam has actively undertaken international industrial transfer,adjusted relevant policies,promoted the vigorous development of manufacturing and foreign trade,and achieved stable economic growth.However,the development of the Vietnamese economy is driven by external factors rather than the internal driving force of the Vietnamese economy itself.There are structural flaws behind Vietnam’s economic prosperity.Overall,China and Vietnam complement each other more than compete in terms of industrial and value chains,and“Made in Vietnam”cannot replace“Made in China”.In this regard,China and Vietnam should further explore the complementarity of industrial chains,create a safe transnational industrial chain,deepen industrial chain cooperation,and promote high-quality docking between the Belt and Road and the Two Corridors and One Circle.

关 键 词：越南经济 产业链 产业转移 中越产业合作 

分 类 号：F13[经济管理—世界经济] F17