国内贸易成本与制造业出口倾向——基于空间视角的实证研究  

Domestic trade cost and manufacturing tendency to export——Empirical research based on spatial perspective

作　　者：冯碧梅 王子薇 陈雅 FENG Bi-mei;WANG Zi-wei;CHEN Ya(School of Economics and Management,Fuzhou University,Fuzhou,Fujian 350108)

机构地区：[1]福州大学经济与管理学院,福建福州350108

出　　处：《价格月刊》2025年第2期26-40,共15页

基　　金：国家社会科学基金一般项目“‘双循环’新格局下我国制造业转型升级研究”(编号:21BJY102)的阶段性研究成果。

摘　　要：中国国内市场分割现象仍然存在,省际贸易成本偏高,降低国内贸易成本成为建设统一大市场、畅通内循环的重要任务。采用高维固定效应模型分析不同空间范围国内贸易成本对制造业出口倾向的影响。研究发现:国内平均贸易成本越高,制造业出口倾向越高,这一结论在进行多项稳健性检验和内生性处理后仍然成立;不同空间范围国内贸易成本对制造业出口倾向的影响存在空间分异特征,其中远方市场的贸易成本变动对出口调整的影响更为突出;行业异质性方面,技术密集型行业受到国内贸易成本的影响最为严重;区位异质性方面,东部地区受多个空间范围贸易成本的影响最为明显;市场占有率对贸易成本和出口倾向的关系具有负向调节作用,劳动要素市场壁垒在贸易成本对出口倾向的影响中起正向调节作用。最后为中国推进制造业“出口转内销”及畅通国内大循环提供相应对策建议。China’s domestic market is severely segmented,and the cost of inter-provincial trade remains high.Therefore,reducing domestic trade costs has become an important task in building a unified large market and facil⁃itating internal circulation.This paper uses a high-dimensional fixed effects model to analyze the impact of domes⁃tic trade costs on the export tendency of manufacturing industry in different spatial ranges.It is found that the high⁃er the average domestic trade cost,the higher the tendency of manufacturing export.This conclusion is still valid after several robustness tests and endogeneity treatments;The influence of domestic trade cost on the export ten⁃dency of manufacturing industry in different spatial ranges has spatial differentiation characteristics,among which the impact of changes in trade costs in distant markets on export adjustment is more prominent;In terms of indus⁃try heterogeneity,technology-intensive industries are most affected by domestic trade costs.In terms of regional heterogeneity,the eastern region is most significantly affected by trade costs across multiple spatial ranges.Market share has a negative moderating effect on the relationship between trade cost and export propensity,while labor fac⁃tor market barriers have a positive moderating effect on the influence of trade cost on export propensity.The re⁃search conclusion can provide corresponding countermeasures and suggestions for China to promote the“export to domestic sales”of manufacturing industry and leverage the domestic circulation.

关 键 词：国内贸易成本 制造业 出口倾向 空间经济学 远方市场 

分 类 号：F752[经济管理—国际贸易]