中国式现代化视阈下长三角数字物流推进低碳转型战略创新  

The strategic innovation of digital logistics in the Yangtze River Delta to promote low-carbon transformation from the perspective of Chinese path to modernization

作　　者：薛冰欣 陈敏 XUE Bing-xin;CHEN Min(School of Transportation and Civil Engineering,Nantong University,Nantong,Jiangsu 226019)

机构地区：[1]南通大学交通与土木工程学院,江苏南通226019

出　　处：《价格月刊》2025年第1期41-51,共11页

基　　金：2023年度江苏高校哲学社会科学研究重大项目“长三角数字经济发展视角下韧性物流引领低碳转型路径创新与战略设计”(编号:2023SJZD028)。

摘　　要：首先,从中国式现代化历程回顾与理论诠释入手,针对数字物流推进低碳转型提出研究假设和理论模型。其次,重点选择长三角41个地级市为研究样本,从数字化发展水平、物流投入能力和物流产出能力等三个方面设计数字物流发展水平测度指标体系,从国家治理现代化、经济发展现代化、生态文明现代化和科技创新现代化4个维度构建中国式现代化水平测度指标体系。最后,建立固定效应模型、中介效应模型与调节效应模型来实证检验数字物流与碳排放绩效、能源强度及中国式现代化之间的关系,并进行了一系列的稳健性检验。结果表明:2011—2022年长三角41个地级市的数字物流发展对碳排放绩效存在显著的促进作用,同时能源强度在数字物流影响碳排放绩效的过程中发挥完全中介效应,且中国式现代化在数字物流与碳排放绩效之间起着正向调节作用。根据当前长三角数字物流推进低碳转型的现实问题,提出先从“技术、效率”层次和“四位一体”方向上进行战略调适,再从思维定位、宏观布局与微观锁定上开展战略创新,并在此基础上设计城市低碳转型路径,为促进长三角区域实现“人与自然和谐共生”的中国式现代化目标探索新的思路与方法。First of all,this paper starts with the review of the history of Chinese path to modernization and theoreti-cal interpretation,and proposes research assumptions and theoretical models for digital logistics to promote low-carbon transformation.Secondly,it mainly selects 41 cities at the prefecture level in the Yangtze River Delta as re-search samples,and designs the measurement index system of digital logistics development level from three as-pects:digital development level,logistics input capacity and logistics output capacity,and constructs the measure-ment index system of Chinese path to modernization level from four dimensions,namely,modernization of national governance,modernization of economic development,modernization of ecological civilization and modernization of scientific and technological innovation.Finally,it establishes fixed effect model,intermediary effect model and reg-ulatory effect model to empirically test the relationship between digital logistics and carbon emission performance,energy intensity and Chinese path to modernization,and conducts a series of robustness tests.The results show that the development of digital logistics in 41 cities at the prefecture level in the Yangtze River Delta from 2011 to 2022 has a significant role in promoting carbon emission performance.At the same time,energy intensity plays a full intermediary role in the process of digital logistics affecting carbon emission performance,and Chinese path to modernization plays a positive role in regulating the relationship between digital logistics and carbon emission per-formance.According to the current realistic problems of digital logistics in the Yangtze River Delta to promote low-carbon transformation,it is proposed to first carry out the strategic adjustment from the level of“technology and ef-ficiency”and the direction of“four in one”,and then carry out the strategic innovation from the perspective of thinking positioning,macro layout and micro locking,and on this basis,design the path of urban low-carbon tr

关 键 词：中国式现代化 数字物流 低碳转型 战略调适 战略创新 

分 类 号：F742[经济管理—国际贸易]