中国东部地区农户经济收入与耕地“非粮化”的关系  

The relationship between the economic income of farmers and the“non-food”transformation of cultivated land in the eastern regions of China

作　　者：徐文杰 刘兆普[2] XU Wen-jie;LIU Zhao-pu(School of Economics and Management,Nanjing Agricultural University,Nanjing 210095,China;College of Resources and Environmental Sciences,Nanjing Agricultural University,Nanjing 210095,China)

机构地区：[1]南京农业大学经济管理学院,南京210095 [2]南京农业大学资源与环境科学学院,南京210095

出　　处：《湖北农业科学》2025年第1期207-211,共5页Hubei Agricultural Sciences

基　　金：国家重点研发计划项目(蓝色粮仓科技创新专项)(2019YFD0900702;2020YFD090070)。

摘　　要：利用2005—2015年全国农村固定观察点调查数据,通过建立中国东部地区的向量自回归模型探究农户经济作物种植收入占总种植收入比重与农户将耕地用于非粮食作物种植之间的动态关系。结果表明,东部地区农户收入对耕地“非粮化”依赖程度较低;解决耕地“非粮化”问题不会过度影响农户的经济收入;东部地区农户种植经济作物可在一定程度上促进收入的增长。因此,需要将国家粮食安全与农民增收愿景相结合,针对东部地区的情况制定符合地区实际的政策方针,为农业农村发展赋能助力。Using data from the 2005—2015 National Rural Fixed Observation Point Survey,a vector autoregressive model was devel-oped for eastern China to explore the dynamic relationship between the share of farm household income from cash crop cultivation in to-tal cultivation income and the use of arable land for non-food crop cultivation by farm households.The results showed that farmers’in-come in the eastern region was less dependent on the“non-food”use of arable land;solving the problem of“non-food”use of arable land would not unduly affect farmers’economic income;the cultivation of cash crops by farmers in the eastern region could contribute to the growth of their income to a certain extent.Therefore,it was necessary to combine national food security with the vision of increas-ing farmers’incomes,and to formulate policy guidelines that were tailored to the situation in the eastern region,so as to empower agri-cultural and rural development.

关 键 词：耕地“非粮化” 农户经济收入 向量自回归模型 中国东部地区 

分 类 号：F323.5[经济管理—产业经济] F323.211