基于劳动生产率分解的中国工业发展跨期调整的空间特征  

Spatial Characteristics of Cross Period djustment in China's Industrial Development Based on the Decomposition of Labor Productivity

作　　者：刘亮[1] 张奉君 李昊匡 周茂彬 LIU Liang;ZHANG Fengjun;LI Haokuang;ZHOU Maobin(Shanghai Academy of Social Sciences,Shanghai 200020,China;Center for Marxist Political Economy Research,Shanghai University,Shanghai 200444,China;Wanlian Securities Co.LTD,Guangzhou 510630,Guangdong,China)

机构地区：[1]上海社会科学院,上海200020 [2]上海大学政治经济学研究中心,上海200444 [3]万联证券股份有限公司,广东广州510630

出　　处：《经济地理》2024年第12期113-120,176,共9页Economic Geography

基　　金：国家社会科学基金一般项目(19BJY101);上海市哲学社会科学规划专项课题(2024VQH042);上海大学青年英才启航计划项目。

摘　　要：文章基于劳动生产率分解模型,从全国、区域、省份层面将中国31个省份1980—2022年的劳动生产率分解为产业内增长与结构间增长,并结合空间性和结构性判断中国工业发展跨期调整特征,及是否存在“过早去工业化”。结果表明:①全国层面,中国不存在“过早去工业化”问题;②区域层面,东部属于正常去工业化,中西部仍在工业化,东北存在“过早去工业化”;③省份层面,中国“去工业化”具有显著的空间特征,多种工业化现象同时存在。Based on the labor productivity decomposition model,this paper decomposes labor productivity into intraindustry growth and inter-structural growth in 31 provincial-level regions of China from 1980 to 2022 at the national,regional and provincial levels.Combining the spatial and structural characteristics,it estimates the characteristics of cross period adjustment in China's industrial development and whether there is"premature deindustrialization".The results indicate that:1)At the national level,there is no problem of"premature deindustrialization"in China.2)At the regional level,the eastern region belongs to the normal deindustrialization,the central and western regions are still industrializing,and there is a phenomenon of"premature deindustrialization"in the northeastern region.3)At the provincial level,China's"deindustrialization"has significant spatial characteristics,with multiple industrialization phenomena coexisting simultaneously.

关 键 词：去工业化 劳动生产率 产业内增长 结构间增长 转型升级 要素流转 

分 类 号：F124.6[经济管理—世界经济]