跨境铁路建设能否促进区域产业升级?——基于中欧班列开通的274个城市经验数据  

Can cross-border railway construction promote regional industrial upgrading?--Based on the experience data of 274 cities with China-Europe railway services

作　　者：李鑫岩 余金艳 张家超 陈权亮 LI Xinyan;YU Jinyan;ZHANG Jiachao;CHEN Quanliang(China Institute of Belt and Road Strategy,Beijing International Studies University,Beijing 100024,China;School of Mathematics and Physics,University of South China,Hengyang 421001,China;School of Economics,Shenzhen University,Shenzhen 518060,China)

机构地区：[1]北京第二外国语学院中国一带一路战略研究院,北京100024 [2]南华大学数理学院,湖南衡阳421001 [3]深圳大学经济学院,广东深圳518060

出　　处：《资源开发与市场》2025年第2期222-230,共9页Resource Development & Market

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(编号:42101180)。

摘　　要：跨境铁路链接不同类型经济社会,拓展国内外市场空间,促使各类经济资源跨时空重组,有力拉动沿线地区经济发展。然而,跨境铁路能否促进区域产业升级,其中机理如何,这是理论和实践亟需探究的问题。以中国274个地级市2007-2019年面板数据为基础,研究以中欧班列为代表的跨境铁路开通对中国境内沿线城市区域产业升级的促进作用。结果表明:(1)中欧班列显著促进中国境内沿线城市的区域产业升级,且在PSM-DID、IV和安慰剂检验下均稳健成立。(2)中欧班列通过在供给端促进劳动力和资本聚集,在需求端拓展外部需求促进区域产业升级。(3)中欧班列对西部城市的区域产业升级促进作用高于中部城市,而东部城市的产业升级促进作用不显著;对非内陆自贸区城市的区域产业升级促进作用高于内陆自贸区城市。Cross-border Railway links different types of economy and society and expands the market space from domestic and abroad.Besides,it can promote the reorganization of various economic resources across time and space so that effectively stimulates the economic development of regions along the lines.However,whether Cross-border Railway can promote regional industrial upgrading is an urgent problem to be explored in the theory and practice area.Based on the panel data of 274 prefecture-level cities in China from 2007 to 2019,this paper studied the promotion effect of Cross-border Railway represented by China-Europe Railway on regional industrial upgrading of cities along the routes in China.The results showed that:①The China-Europe Express significantly promoted the regional industrial upgrading of the cities along the route in China,and it was stably established under PSM-DID,IV and placebo tests.②The China-Europe Express promoted regional industrial upgrading by promoting labor and capital accumulation on the supply side and expanding external market on the demand side.③The promotion effect of Cross-border railways on regional industrial upgrading in western cities was higher than that in central cities,while the promotion effect of industrial upgrading in eastern cities was not significant.The promotion effect of regional industrial upgrading on non-inland free trade zone cities was higher than that in inland free trade zone cities.

关 键 词：跨境铁路 中欧班列 产业升级 国际物流 

分 类 号：F129.9[经济管理—世界经济]